It was an interesting overnight with downpours, gusty wind, hail, thunder and lightning, all associated with a warm front which was propagating westward over Scotland as low pressure formed out over the North Channel. Warm, humid, continental air wrapping around the low’s E/N flank, coupled with strong August sun and a very gust ESE wind is making for a beautiful warm day over Northern England and Scotland.

This low has the warm front now over NI where it’s a cool wet day while the associated cold front is bringing a stormy day up through England and Wales. This front lifts north through today, eventually reaching central Scotland tonight bringing more heavy downpours and thunderstorms.

It’s a warm, windy Sunday across northern England and Scotland with temperatures in the 18-22C range in the East, 22-26C in the West with the help of downslope influence, a fresher feel to the south of the CF over Southwest England and South Wales.

Yesterday extremes over the UK.

Warmest: 30.9C Kew & Gravesend Coolest: 7.8C Altnaharra Wettest: 62.4mm Bramham Sunniest: 13.1hrs Wattisham

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That low eventually clears out into the north Atlantic but the next potent low packing strong wind, heavy rain and embedded t-storms pushes into southern Britain overnight tonight.

We’re firmly back under the trough this week!

 

 

Quick heads up to subscribers, I issue my September/Autumn 2015 outlook tomorrow (Monday) which is made available to the public but I wanted to show you what I’m looking at. CFSv2 continues to show above normal heights, below normal precipitation during September over W Europe and I’m in full agreement of this. I believe September should be similar to April. Warm, drier than normal!

With above normal heights come, less than normal rainfall.

2 metre temp anomaly for Sep 2015.

See today’s video for the discussion.

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