Winter 2015/16
This year’s highly active storm pattern continues to role with Imogen, the 9th named storm of the season slamming southern Ireland and Britain. The more southerly track is thanks to a more southerly jet stream providing a break for Northern Ireland and Scotland. Tremendous wind energy associated with Imogen crossing hundreds of miles of Atlantic has generated phenomenal […]
The weird and wacky, tough to forecast ups and downs of winter 2015-16 continues with January turning out slightly colder than normal following a record warm December. Now that we’ve opened February, like December, it’s exceptionally mild in the East but the difference is that there’s plenty of winter all around rather than a sea of warmth. After all the […]
Thought I would quickly take a look back at January and how it played out across Europe and the UK. As you can see from the below graphics 2016’s opening month was ended up warmer as well as wetter than normal. Largely down to the strong El Nino, we’ve seen temps climb as high as […]
A surprise and sneaky coastal snow event has brought a 2-4, locally 6 inch snowfall from eastern Virginia up through New York and 6-8, locally 10-12 inches over parts of Connecticut and Massachusetts. This comes on the heels of abnormal warmth which sent temps over western Mass to 64 degrees just yesterday. Yesterday’s temperature anomaly. […]
The first in the next series of Atlantic lows is now pushing over the UK with wind and rain and this sets the tone for turbulent weekend and start to next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] A cold upper trough is expanding over the NE Atlantic/Western Europe and lows will rotate around the trough bringing several hits of […]
Although there’s no true sign of an NAO flip back to negative, the AO is tanking in response to the stratospheric warming and so we’;; see a southward dip in a still strong jet stream next week. This does make a difference and a colder pattern. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Although most want to see the big […]
All evidence of last weekend’s historic snowstorm/blizzard is fading away today over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast thanks to a surge of heavy rain and temps 10-20 above normal. Last weekend snowfall. Now Anything that remains is likely to disappear over the next 36 hours as the big storm that’s hammered the Plains with snow and wind and floods, severe weather over the […]
As we enter the Feb 5-10th period, it doesn’t look as though we truly loose the Atlantic influence but it does appear we turn our mean flow from west to northwest with lows still impacting but with colder air which increases the chance of snow to increasingly low levels. The GFS operational does show a […]
As advertised, we have blizzard conditions on the Plains while flooding rains and increased risk for tornadoes grows this afternoon into this evening south the Mid-South. Nice mild surge up the East Coast while colder air follows in the wake of the storm. As we look ahead in the weekend, next week and beyond, we […]
In the wake of wicked storm Henry which produced 100 mph winds on the exposed but low lying Tay Road Bridge and 149 mph over Cairngorm Summit Monday, northerly winds on the depression’s rear has helped force exceptionally cold air within the lower stratosphere (50,000+ feet) with the southern extension of the polar vortex dropping down over the UK. Clear, cold […]
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