Winter 2014/15
Based on all I’m seeing, I believe the next 15-20 days will bring the worst of this winter’s snow and cold. More snow than what we’ve seen so far… ECMWF and GFS both really lay down the snows again over the next 7-10 days. Snow cover projections are impressive. Here’s Europe snow cover by day 10.. Not […]
A snowy morning around New York/New Jersey this morning. This is just the beginning… Manhattan, NYC Secaucus, NJ Ridgeway, NJ Bronx, NY Projected snow off the ECMWF through 36 hrs (current system) Through 96 hrs including clipper which follows Mon-Tue. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Here comes that trough behind the clipper. Remember I said that the cold of […]
It’s been an interesting winter. Despite a +NAO/AO, we have seen the snow and cold materialise with even the ‘mild spells’ in between producing snow, cold and ice. How so? There are other drivers which are overwhelming this winter’s mean pattern. Cold spell No 4 is on it’s way to end next week and this brings a […]
The winter so far has been rather up and down with mild spells and cold spells. Here’s how December turned out. I think January will be above average across central, northern and eastern Europe, below average in the south, southwest and west including the UK and Ireland. I believe the cold spell we’re just coming […]
We continue to watch not one but 2 snow makers ahead of the first wave of arctic cold into the East. The EC storm track appears to be slightly inland as it heads up the coast and therefore rainfall may be more substantial than previously thought for the Big Cities. There also appears to be less cold air available but this doesn’t mean there won’t be snow […]
Transition from cold to warm is always messy and often dangerous. Many can be fooled into thinking ice is gone when the temp climbs and it feels much more pleasant and people start relaxing more on foot and behind the wheel but the ground remains cold often for days after. Therefore black ice becomes a much more significant risk, often […]
Just when you thought winter may be over, we have 2 snow systems attacking the snow barren Northeast this week ahead of potentially the strongest shot of cold all winter… the old man himself is returning… ECMWF looking bullish with snow next 7 days in the Mid-Atlantic and up the coast to Boston. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] EPS […]
There has undoubtedly been a distinct lack of negative NAO and even AO this winter. That’s despite seeing 3 cold spells. Sure, they’ve not been all that extreme on the grand scheme of things. The first during the first 2 weeks of December brought some snow and cold, the 2nd the week between Christmas and […]
After a lull in weather proceedings of late, we’re finally getting into some interesting weather once again. First of all we’re watching the clipper diving through the Lakes into the Northeast tonight and tomorrow and a secondary system which after bringing heavy snow to the 4 Corners, pushes through Texas before riding up the coast as […]
It was cold last night in particular across the West and Northwest Highlands of Scotland with evening temps (around 4.30pm) dipping to -13.7C at Loch Glascarnoch. That’s the UK’s lowest since 2012 when Holbeach, Lincolnshire hit -15 and Scotland’s lowest since December 2010. While the chill levelled off overnight across the North, they continued cooling further south. Heathrow […]
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