Seasonal Forecasts
Gone is our beloved high pressure pattern and back is the cool, unsettled trough. Going by multi runs of the GFS operational, ensemble, ECMWF and CFSv2, it appears this pattern is a true flip that’s here to stay. Certainly through the first half of May. Be sure to watch today’s video for the discussion. [s2If […]
For the past several days, the models have hinted at a fairly major storm system developing over the Southeast and riding up the East Coast at the close of April/beginning of May. While there’s a lot of uncertainty and it’s still a long way off (some 6 days out), based on current projections, this could […]
You’ll notice the difference out there today as patiently waiting weather systems begin to move in. Why such a change? We’ve lost over 24mb in pressure and so there’s no resistance in holding back surrounding weather. Today marks the change with cloudier skies and some shower activity but it’s not till Saturday that the atmosphere […]
A couple of weeks ago I was leaning towards a warmer than normal May but as we progressed through this month I began to think twice. Based on several factors including the strong Alaska to Greenland block we’ve got going and will continue to drive a chilly, wet pattern for much of the US as we end April and […]
Well April turned out drier and warmer than I had expected. However, I did believe we would see our first true warm spell of 2015, that turned out to be nearly the entire month. Check out how clear the skies over the UK were yesterday. Views like this have become common this month as high […]
Plenty of west-east movement in the US weather pattern next 10 days with rumors of big east coasts storms. We shall see. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Here’s the ECMWF 7 day snow. 10 day Moral is, there’s plenty of fun and games in this pattern still. [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
The unusual deep, cold upper vortex drifting down over the Great Lakes bringing an abnormal chill from the Upper Midwest to Mid-Atlantic may not be a short lived blip but part of a pattern that lingers. For the first time since last year, the NAO is tanking and that means a twin trough under Greenland […]
Well I’ve addressed the big pattern flip that’s coming but today I want to look at just how chilly it could get with this setup. First of all, check this out…. This often happens in solar downturn years not in winter but spring and often marks the big shift to a longer term cooler and wetter pattern. […]
After dumping more than 50 inches of snow on Colorado’s High Country last week, the very same system is now focusing potentially record breaking snow across Northern Ontario. TOP IMAGE CREDIT: WeatherBug.com [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The latest run of the ECMWF prints out an impressive 12-18″ across a broad area of Ontario with 24″ bulls eye. Significant cold […]
Check this out… big flip with the newer run of the Jamstec for the June-August period. It’s now hinting at wetter than normal and solidly cooler than normal for the UK, Ireland and Western Europe but warmer than normal down over much of Iberia. It had the opposite back on April 1st. This now falls in line with […]
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