Seasonal Forecasts
PATTERN SHIFT: High Pressure Bursts Late This Week And Gives Way To Low Pressure Dominance Next Week
It’s the start of a new work week and for most, the schools are back. This week starts as last week ended with high pressure continuing to dominate. Chilly starts with rural frosts gives way to a pleasantly comfortable bright or sunny afternoon. As the high sits almost directly overhead, so winds will be lighter than […]
We know the rest of April is looking cool to very cool compared to normal but for quite a while now the CFSv2 has had it pretty warm for May across the majority of the Lower 48. However BOTH the weeklies and monthly has it looking much cooler with only the Pacific Northwest up through western Canada into Alaska […]
The very dry pattern continues through the week ahead but change is on the way towards the end of the work week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Following a dry February-March and now April pattern (potentially one of the driest), I believe change coming in May but it’s actually when that change occurs to a wetter theme very […]
A 45-vehicle pile-up occurred yesterday during heavy snow along I-80 between Laramie and Cheyenne. Authorities say at least 6 were left critical following the ‘domino effect’ crash. Conditions to the south over Colorado’s High Country was just as nasty as big rigs were forced to chain up last night on I-70. Meanwhile further east on the High […]
I am making more and more mention about this El Nino because it may become a major global player this summer into next winter. We’ve not had a strong nino in the last decade and a half and there’s increasing evidence suggesting that this could become strong. The PDO is very warm currently and thus this […]
This has all the credentials of being a record-breaking April snowstorm for Colorado! GFS TOP IMAGE CREDIT: WeatherBug [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] ECMWF Exactly how much the Mile High City will get remains to be seen. They could get a couple of inches or 20 inches but I suspect somewhere to the west in the High Country […]
The mid summer heat of yesterday is history as the boundary that’s been creeping south all week pushes into France today. The UK atmosphere is now back in one air mass once again. Despite sunshine, highs will, for most, fail to reach 20C in areas that were 24-25C at 4pm yesterday. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The good […]
Recent posts/videos have very much focused on the amount of liquid projected across the Deep South. With a warmer warm east Pacific and Gulf, rainfall is likely to be enhanced, especially as the El Nino gets going. Latest infrared images are showing a very ‘El Nino’ look with enhanced convection on a very pronounced southern […]
Back in March 2012 I was led into a false sense of security. After a disappointing winter 2011-12 which was unusually cold over Europe, was rather mild here in the UK. We ended up experiencing the warmest March on record here in Scotland with three straight days of all-time record warmth. Each day was warmer than […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Check this out for late week as the latest Pacific storm system dives SE across the Rockies. The GFS has backed off significantly after having 30″ of snow for Denver. The ECMWF still has a major snow event of 4-8″. The key for Denver is whether the surface low tracks to the south […]
Recent Comments