Seasonal Forecasts

One Autumn-like Low Leaves Another Moves In, Worst July Storm Since 1901 For Netherlands!

One Autumn-like Low Leaves Another Moves In, Worst July Storm Since 1901 For Netherlands!

While one autumnal low departs, packing damaging wind gusts along the Dutch coast and generating 12-22ft swells at sea, another is sweeping into Ireland and after a day of sun and heavy, thundery showers, expect cloud, wind and rain to increase through Saturday night over the UK. It appears this low was a record-breaker for the Netherlands. Worst for […]

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Watching Off Southeast Coast Next 7-10 Days In Highly Transient El Nino Pattern

Written by on July 25, 2015 in Summer 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
Watching Off Southeast Coast Next 7-10 Days In Highly Transient El Nino Pattern

The pattern remains highly transient and while there’s currently a Plains ridge with 90/100 degree heat, there’s a refreshing trough over the Northeast, expect the opposite later next week. The 594 boiler plate ridge now over Texas which is pushing the first 100 degree day for Dallas shifts WESTWARD into the Southwest later next week but before we get there, the heat in the […]

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W EUROPE: Rare July Storm To Drop ‘Months Worth’ Of Rain, Batter Coasts With Severe Gales

W EUROPE: Rare July Storm To Drop ‘Months Worth’ Of Rain, Batter Coasts With Severe Gales

While the Northern half of the British Isles has seen it’s fair share of moisture this summer, the South on the other hand hasn’t. That’s about to change as an unusually deep July low crosses through the Channel bringing coastal gales and a widespread soaking rain. The huge SSTA gradient between central North Atlantic and off […]

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US August Outlook

Written by on July 24, 2015 in Summer 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
US August Outlook

Despite ‘regional’ hot spells, this July won’t be remembered so much for heat and drought but more cool and especially wet. In fact nationally it’s likely been the coolest July since 2009 with no 100-degree day as of yet in Dallas, TX and only two 90s in New York while there’s been no 90s in a few Ohio Valley […]

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Europe August Outlook

Europe August Outlook

With the exceptions of SE England, we continue to see an increase in rainfall this July following the hot, dry start for all of the UK. The monthly average is now back around normal compared to way above average during the opening 5 days. With a particularly cool and at times wet end to July, it’s likely that the central and […]

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St Johns, Newfoundland May See Coldest July Following It’s Warmest Last Year!

St Johns, Newfoundland May See Coldest July Following It’s Warmest Last Year!

It may have been a cool summer up until now (likely to continue too) over Northern Europe compared to points further south, but it may well be the coolest July on record for St Johns, Newfoundland after experiencing it’s warmest July just last year. How so drastically different in just 12 months? [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The […]

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Cold UK Summer 2015 In Midst Of Globe’s Warmest Year On Record?

Cold UK Summer 2015 In Midst Of Globe’s Warmest Year On Record?

While there’s a LOT of hysteria about 2015’s opening 6 months being the warmest on record, you can clearly see the influence of the cold North Atlantic’s cooling influence on the atmosphere above and downwind over Ireland and the British Isles. Sure enough, once inland over continental Europe it’s warmer than normal. The strengthening El Nino […]

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Parts Of California Experience Wettest July On Record Largely Down To El Nino

Written by on July 21, 2015 in Summer 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
Parts Of California Experience Wettest July On Record Largely Down To El Nino

This visible satellite view is one to put in the archives. Thank El Nino for not only supporting unusually warm waters from the tropics to shores of California and producing Dolores, a once major east Pacific Hurricane but this potentially ‘strongest El Nino in 50 years’ has allowed the remains of this hurricane to take an unusual NNE path, […]

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Chill This Week May Finally Tip Much Of UK Into ‘Below Normal’ Territory For July Erasing Warm Start!

Chill This Week May Finally Tip Much Of UK Into ‘Below Normal’ Territory For July Erasing Warm Start!

We have at least less potency in Atlantic lows this week but their presence is still being felt as they may be responsible for flipping the North and Northwest UK into ‘below normal territory’ for July, erasing the incredibly warm start. We started the month like this… We’re now at this… With the last 10 […]

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Big Temperature Contrast Over Eastern North America

Big Temperature Contrast Over Eastern North America

While it was indeed the hottest day of summer yesterday from DC to Boston, it was an entirely different day up in Newfoundland. Just look at these anomalies between the Northeast and Newfoundland yesterday. Lows/highs from yesterday across North America. Northeast highs Mid-90s for the Major Cities with realfeels in the 100s while we saw a record low […]

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