Tropical
Typhoon Nida made landfall around 3.35am near Hong Kong Tuesday morning packing damaging winds and flooding rain significantly disrupting transportation and infrastructure with schools and businesses closing. Several people we’re injured due to dozens of trees falling along with the collapse of scaffolding. The wind tunnel effect plays a major role here. Gusts of 93 mph we’re recorded while over […]
Looks like we have Tropical Storm Earl on the way. Looking healthy with improving outflow and a likely developing closed circulation. Water vapour shows little dry air around and ahead of the system. Waters are bathtub warm and there’s a good atmospheric environment around and ahead of this system. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Model spray focuses on […]
The sun is up and revealed and much more robust 96L with deep cyclonic convection shown in satellite imagery. Despite looking good this morning, there are a lot of obstacles in the way of both 96L and 97L, positioned well to the west of 96L in the central tropical Atlantic. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The models show one […]
Published: Jul 20 2016 02:00 PM EDT By Jonathan Belles weather.com Sea surface temperatures so far this hurricane season have busted records in the Gulf of Mexico, running just under 2 degrees Fahrenheit above average, and that could mean more fuel for tropical storms and hurricanes if the season becomes more active. Temperatures at the […]
Published: Jun 12 2016 03:00 PM EDT By Brian Donegan weather.com Tropical Storm Colin was the 144th consecutive tropical cyclone in the Atlantic Basin to not make landfall in the United States as a major hurricane, defined as a Category 3 or higher storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale, according to Colorado State University tropical meteorologist, Dr. Phil […]
A quick update on Tropical Storm Colin. He’s stronger but looking windswept with shear displacing convection to the east. Water temps appear warm enough to maintain a moderate to strong TS as it comes ashore within the Florida Bight but shear may hold back further intensification. GFDL sees strongest winds on south side with little […]
A brief post this evening as I’m about to hit the road for Scotland’s far north to climb another two munros. I’ve not got much to add from before. Texas continues to get hammered but there’s drying on the way thankfully. Scene from Galveston, TX. Heat is on big time Out West with Phoenix likely […]
Lots going on this weekend with floods continuing to hit Texas hard. Out West and we’ve got the first heatwave of 2016 set to send temps to record levels from Phoenix to LA up to Seattle. The Texas system should exit eastward late weekend but the combination of this system and one sweeping east through the Lakes, […]
Today marks the official start to meteorological summer and the Atlantic Hurricane season 2016. As you would expect, the tropics are quiet but not silent with NHC highlighting an area of disturbed weather Central America. In recent days, models have been picking up on developing either over the western Caribbean or Gulf. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] ECMWF and […]
This Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Forecast 2016 is based on the current and projected El Nino Southern Oscillation Index (ENSO), current and projected global sea surface temperature anomalies and past analogs. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Current SSTA’s. Based purely on the fact we are seeing the development of a La Nina following a strong El Nino, one could jump to the […]
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