Looks like we have Tropical Storm Earl on the way. Looking healthy with improving outflow and a likely developing closed circulation.
Water vapour shows little dry air around and ahead of the system.
Waters are bathtub warm and there’s a good atmospheric environment around and ahead of this system.
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Model spray focuses on the southern Yucatan and Belize.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Majority of the spray takes this thing to strong TS strength.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
HWRF takes this system into Belize as a 970mb hurricane.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Water 29-31C all the way to the Central America coast!
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Excellent in-depth discussion by Levi Cowan.
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