Tropical
This Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Forecast 2016 is based on the current and projected El Nino Southern Oscillation Index (ENSO), current and projected global sea surface temperature anomalies and past analogs. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Current SSTA’s. Based purely on the fact we are seeing the development of a La Nina following a strong El Nino, one could jump to the […]
70 percent likelihood of 10 to 16 named storms May 27, 2016 NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, will most likely be near-normal, but forecast uncertainty in the climate signals that influence the formation of Atlantic storms make predicting this season particularly difficult. […]
It’s a busy run up to the big Memorial Day weekend with deepening trough in West and building ridge in East. We’re likely to exceed the 90-degree mark for the first time this year in DC, possibly New York and Boston but the west-east contrast, strong storm and strong jet, this week is a big week for […]
AccuWeather 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast AccuWeather Forecast: Named Storms: 14 Hurricanes: 8 Major Hurricanes: 4 U.S. Named Storm Landfalls: 3 The potential movement of a ‘cold blob’ of water in the North Atlantic Ocean may be the wild card in the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season, experts say. The cold blob refers to a large, […]
Article from weather.com The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season forecast released Thursday from Colorado State University calls for the number of named storms and hurricanes to be near historical averages. A total of 12 named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricane are expected this season, according to the forecast prepared by CSU, which is headed […]
The current flood situation across Texas is not too dissimilar to what we saw in the Carolinas just 2 weeks ago. A separate system, this time pushing eastwards from the Four Corners, slows and draws on rich Gulf moisture which dumps 10+ inches of rain causing flash flooding. Then the beast that was Hurricane Patricia slams west coast Mexico and as the structural […]
Hurricane Patricia has went from Category 1, 85 mph system to Category 5, 200 mph tempest within a mere 30 hours! It threatens Mexico central Pacific coast with catastrophic destruction tonight! Here’s some imagery and analysis. Eye of Patricia is within 50 miles of the coast. Patricia exploded over unusually warm, El Nino induced […]
Rains are easing but incredibly still falling over parts of the Carolinas. Incredibly, close to 30 inches of rain has fallen between Friday and Monday. It was the ‘perfect storm’ scenario with no single player to blame but 3 to 4, even 5 components all coming together perfectly. Conway High School, SC Joaquin in my opinion […]
Potentially the greatest flood event in South Carolina history continues. It all started off when a frontal zone stalled just off the East Coast in which a system formed coast bringing an initial drenching to the Carolinas up into the Mid-Atlantic but as Hurricane Joaquin intensified and drifted SW over the Bahamas, the interaction between an unusually strong upper low spinning […]
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