Rest of Europe

As expected, this weekend as well as next weekend looks to be LOW PRESSURE dominated as the overall pattern shifts from continental to oceanic. High pressure has been spoiling us in recent weeks, helping us dry out nicely after the wet winter and at times spring. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As for this weekend, a large envelop of low […]

The pattern is now returning to a more classic setup as the trough swings into the UK resulting in thicker cloud cover along with outbreaks of rain. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] An Atlantic depression will progress east across Ireland the UK into mainland Europe over the next 72 hours and it appears ridging will build in early to […]

The much anticipated breakdown in our fine, dry and warm pattern over W Europe has begun. This morning is our first damp one here and though many will enjoy another dry, fairly warm day, the trend for damp will spread in the coming 24 to 36 hours as low pressure moves in and takes charge […]

While Western Europe continues to enjoy the benefits of high pressure, on the other side of the continent we’ve seen tremendous rains continue to flood parts of the Balkans into Bulgaria and Romania as well as Turkey. Along with the soaking rains, amazingly, we’ve also got scenes like this below up in the mountains. STILL, on June […]

In today’s post I want to look at the longer term briefly and show you what the models are showing as of June 21. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Unsurprisingly, there is already a fight and contradiction. Here’s the CFSv2 for November and December. Note the WARMTH. Uh oh! While the strong easterly QBO, caused by a strong solar […]

Despite the cool down across particularly the northern UK, high pressure does look to be holding on enough that it remains largely fine, dry and sunny. Low pressure at the base of the eastern trough has caused significant flooding rains across parts of the Balkans in the last 24-36 hours but it appears change is coming […]

Once again, Glasgow in the West of Scotland took the prize for the UK warm spot yesterday. The high peaked at 26.1C. The reason is simple, we’re closest to that 1032mb high pressure core with enough of a cap for least amount of cloud. Around the rim of the strongest heights (east Scotland down through much of […]

It was a beautiful and warm day particularly for Western Scotland yesterday while disappointing in your more typically favoured UK hot spots. The reason is all thanks to the positioning of the high. Centred NW of Scotland, the strongest heights and available sunshine has been here, nearest the core and we should see similar, unbroken […]

High pressure will be strongest with a 1032 core positioned just NW or Ireland, supporting a sun/cloud mix through the first half of the new working week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Temperatures will be comfortable, not particularly cool, nor unusually warm. Where the sun stays out longest (mainly western areas), expect temps to climb into the 20-24C range. […]

Warm, largely fine, dry and settled weather looks to dominate Western Europe through the next 7 days, possibly the following 7. Here’s the 7-day mean 500mb height anomalies for Europe. The core of high pressure will sit right where the mean low was during the previous 7-10 days. ECMWF GFS [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Nice warm temps with sun, cloud […]