The pattern is now returning to a more classic setup as the trough swings into the UK resulting in thicker cloud cover along with outbreaks of rain.

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

An Atlantic depression will progress east across Ireland the UK into mainland Europe over the next 72 hours and it appears ridging will build in early to mid next week. Staying wet in the central and eastern side of Europe. Dry, hot in the Southeast from Greece to Cyprus where daytime maximums will top 40C.

ECMWF surface through the next 7 days.

Despite ridging to start next week, the mean trough is deepening over Western Europe. This will lay down the tracks for a more robust Atlantic storm train and deeper lows.

The ECMWF has a west-east tracking low on it’s charts worth keeping an eye on late next week.

ECMWF surface by late next week.

The GFS also shows a deep low, albeit to the west of the UK next weekend.

As the trough replaces the ridge, so temperature anomalies drop below normal.

We’re likely to go into July on a rather cool and unsettled note but as shown yesterday and discussed for some time now. The NAO looks set to go back positive into July and this should reset the Atlantic-Europe upper ridge-trough pattern.

It’s been chilly over Scandinavia of late. I’ve posted on this in recent days but here’s a few interesting links.

Record snowfall in Norway

Coldest June day in Finland in 50 years

Fantasyland Update

CFSv2 looks to be hinting at a Greenland block for December!

You’d think that would show cold for UK and Western Europe…

It’s global 2 metre temps for Dec show the northern blocking and also the central Pacific based nino. A cold signal for the UK and West.

[/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]