Mark Vogan
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Late last week we saw temperatures soar towards 115F in the Northern Sacramento Valley beneath a 594dm ridge. We now have an unusually deep trough overhead and we’re literally seeing the opposite, instead of 10-15 above average it’s now 10-15 below average with rare July rain, hail and yes even snow! This is not something you see every […]
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Within the first 10 days of July, we’ve went from the hottest July day on record last week to at least 3 locations experiencing their coldest July night on record. Katesbridge, Co Down woke to a frosty 0.3C, Strathallan, Perthshire 2.3C and Gogarbank (Edinburgh Airport) 3.7C all set new cold records for July. Scotland last Wednesday… This morning… Strathallan, Gogarbank and […]
This years El Nino is a big deal and greatest since 1998. It appears to be going for ‘super’ status. With an atmospheric ENSO index reaching +3 sigma, we’re seeing the greatest ENSO July amplification since 1948 according to WSI Energy. This MJO in response is something else and we can see the response in the tropical […]
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Based on all the information presented to me at this time, the upcoming winter 2015-16 probably has the greatest level of uncertainty. El Ninos, like other big drivers are not created equally. Our warmest and cold winters have occurred during El Nino years. i.e, 2009-10 which was a moderate event and brought the UK’s coldest […]
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