Today is the lull before the storm the first in a conveyor of depressions sweep in off the Atlantic. The Atlantic jet has picked up incredible strength this week.

The SOUTHERN UK/NORTHWEST France appears to be in the centre of the barrel but models are still wavering with exact track, hence why there is no names given to the two deepening lows spinning over the open Atlantic and poised to make impact tomorrow and late on Friday into Saturday.

The energy of the second seemingly innocuous feature swiftly crosses the Atlantic aboard a 245 mph jet and is expected to rapidly deepen at the base of the large upper wheel of low pressure spinning WSW of Iceland. The first system should bring pretty widespread gales and severe gales to the western side of the UK but the focus turns to southern Wales and England later Friday followed by another Sunday.

Tomorrow

Late Fri-Sat

Sun

Why this sudden turn to stormy? Strat warming has shoved the polar vortex down over the Atlantic forcing the development of a deep elongated trough spanning the North Atlantic!

The Atlantic trough continues to deepen next week while a ridge retrogrades west from Russia into Scandinavia. We could have a sub-930mb bomb near Iceland at the same time surface heights approach 1050 over Scandinavia. Looks like a big atmospheric fight on the way for UK.

Watch this morning’s video.