It’s been an unsettled, cool pattern across Iberia in recent days and things will get worse before better as a deep, cold low sweeps in during Monday bringing windy as well as very wet conditions. Local flooding is inevitable for many central and southern parts of Spain.

Snow has been significant in the northwest of Spain last week.

The cold air dug far enough south to even whiten the mountains of Morocco as seen from a sunny Gibraltar a couple of days ago.

TOP IMAGE CREDIT: Pablo Martinez @PabloBenidorm

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

This morning’s radar shows rain spreading in across Iberia from NW while it’s a wet morning across Scotland.

No picnic over Scotland either with persistent rain hanging on through a good part of the day following a damp 2nd half to the weekend.

Check out the well below normal over Iberia today beneath the cloud and rain while it’s exceptionally warm through the heart of the continent from Italy to Baltic Sea.

Mon PM

Tue PM

This low crossing Spain will draw Saharan dust north over much of France.

As we progress through this week, the Spanish low slowly leaves the east coast and eventually focuses over Italy late week with snow returning to the Alps. This then pushes warm air flowing up from Africa eastward, focusing on Turkey and up through Romania, Bulgaria and up into Ukraine.

Following a wet Monday for the UK, it dries out Tuesday but then by Wednesday on, with low pressure to the north and a strengthening Azores high to the SW, we increase the WNW flow across the UK and this will be a chilly wind veering more northwesterly late week. Sunny spells and April showers with hill snow will be typical Thu-Fri.

By Friday note the cooling UK to Italy while heat increases further east.

GFS shows brief ridging during Friday ahead of the next system which arrives either late Friday or early Saturday. With colder air wrapped around this particular system, this bears watching snowfall wise.

Then as we enter the 6-10 day, models remain consistent at driving a huge Greenland blocking high into the large scale pattern. This signifies more settled but cool across Northern Europe but more unsettled over the Southwest.

See this morning’s video.

[/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]