We have a classic late March/early April temperature rollercoaster. With a still active and progressive upper air flow crossing the Atlantic and Europe and with warmth building over Africa/Med but cold holding strong across Greenland and northern Scandinavia, we have a fight. With lows remaining active from Atlantic into the Western side of Europe, you can get a taste of early summer but on the backside of the same low, we can still get a taste of late winter with hill snow and cold winds.

Next week is looking pretty interesting as a system crosses Ireland and edges into the western UK, all the while a ridge builds over the continent, drawing African warmth north through Iberia and France.

Before then, high pressure builds promoting clear, cold nights to end March.

Current modelling shows the first plume of warmth lifting up through France and the Low Countries, also clipping the SE of England and it looks like we have our first 21C of 2016 Monday and Tuesday for Paris, Brussels, Amsterdam and London.

Early April hosts mid to upper 40s over the African Sahel, mid to upper 30s over the Sahara while Greenland remains locked in wintertime mid -40s. Atlantic lows can tap both air masses bringing late blasts of winter with snow, icy wind and hard frost as well as a taste of summer with mid, even upper 20s into the UK…

Western Europe is set for a taste of both African and Greenland origin air next week.

Following the warmest days of the year to open next week, the jet re strengthens over the Atlantic and looks to push lows across the UK mid week, tapping cold Greenland air and driving across the UK and even France and Low Countries.

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GFS surface

Check out the highs off the GFS for Mon/Tue.

Wednesday appears to hold onto the warmth but look at the sharp drop Thu/Fri.

There’s still snow in the forecast over the next 10 days.

See this morning’s video.

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