Summer is here…

However, despite it being June 1 and officially summer now, it won’t look or feel like summer anywhere in the UK or Ireland today as a gale centre whips in potentially disruptive wind and rain later today into Tuesday.

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For a time, a belt of strong WSW winds may cause isolated issues through Central Lowland Scotland. Bridges are likely to have restrictions on them as well as over Southern England and Wales along the frontal boundary. Expect widespread gusts of 25-45, locally 60-70 mph.

It certainly doesn’t look like summer 2,200ft above Glencoe this morning!

GFS snow charted I showed yesterday.

No surprise given that snow over the hills was in the forecast a good 5+ days ago!

Then later this week, summer is here with reversal of the height field and wind direction…

There’s the potential for a rather stormy (thunderstorms) period later Friday into Saturday as a system pushes into very warm/moist air over the UK and near continent.

Flooding downpours and some strong thunderstorm cells may well develop with this situation.

Surface based CAPE goes throw the roof over Northern France with some moderate levels into the Southern UK.

The GFS ensemble through the next 15 days still has positive heights over West Europe but much more supressed.

The latest CFSv2 remains dry but average to below average temperature wise. July/August is wetter/cooler.

Precipitation

Temperatures

Be sure to watch today’s video for the discussion.

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