November ends completing a warmer, drier than normal Fall for drought ravaged California.
Here are some stats.

Credit: NWS Los Angeles
Current drought situation. Remains SEVERE!

The good news is that we’ve a Pacific storm now pushing in and this will bring probably the biggest rains since March.

A soggy Tuesday morning commute from San Francisco down to Los Angeles.


Credit: NWS Los Angeles

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Rainfall records are likely to fall.

Credit: NWS Los Angeles
GFS shows a heavy pulse of energy pushing towards Ventura and LA counties this afternoon and evening. Could be problematic for burn areas with mudslides and localised flooding a concern.

More pulses follow this tonight into tomorrow.


Snowfall looks confined to the higher elevations of the Sierra. Lots of mild, Pacific air associated with this system.

With the El Nino coming on and warm water hugging the West Coast, precipitation still looks to be above average this winter into spring!
CFSv2 has been garbage but I must agree with it’s SST and precip projections for winter.



See the video for a look at the longer range.
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