United States of America
On the road but here’s a few thoughts on the upcoming hurricane season. Straight up… the warm PDO with strengthening El Nino (becoming a basin-wide event), cold AMO signal DOES NOT favour a big 2015 season, however that’s when looking BASIN-WIDE. Total numbers are likely to be below normal but this doesn’t tell the whole […]
The winter hangover is set to persist over the Eastern United States as we enter April’s 2nd half. The chilly theme which temporarily breaks this week, returns because of the stubborn feedback of exceptionally warm water extending from the eastern equatorial Pacific to Alaska’s southern shore and likely by the ongoing stratospheric warming we are […]
It’s a soaker of a weekend and week ahead along the Gulf Coast as warm, humid air lifts north out of the Gulf up against a stalled frontal boundary on the southern flank of a large high pressure system. That high dominates the Heartland into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. That high and it’s position to the SW means a […]
There are some strong similarities between this year and last. SSTA’s, with slight but important differences, the cold spring, slow start to severe weather season and the winter pattern overall. Here are the global SSTA’s this year vs last. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] With warmer water off all three US coastlines (West, Gulf, East Coast) expect wetter conditions and in turn lower heights for […]
The first significant severe weather outbreak kicks off today and will last through Friday. The main target area for severe potential including damaging wind, large hail and of course tornadoes… TOP IMAGE CREDIT: WeatherBug.com [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Heavy pulses of rain with potential for ‘training thunderstorms’ through the MS/TN/OH valleys will likely lead to flash flooding […]
While a system pushes cooler, wetter weather into California and Southwest which sets up a significant severe weather threat Thursday, some longer range models try to bring back western warmth, eastern cool. Here’s the latest CFSv2 weeklies which quickly brings the return of the western ridge extending up into Alaska again while more cooler air […]
Following a fresh 5 to nearly 10 inches of snow Saturday on top of a still deep snow cover, arctic high pressure slide down from Quebec producing all-time record cold for April. Unofficial lows of -20 were recorded this morning at Big Black River. If verified, this would be a new state record for Maine, surpassing the […]
As shown in the previous US post, the Sierra Nevada started April just 6% of normal snow and the least snow pack in recorded history just when it should have been at it’s annual peak depth, the upcoming 10 days according the GFS, has focus of heaviest snowfall right where it’s been extremely sparse. TOP IMAGE CREDIT: WeatherBug [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As […]
While a ‘somewhat’ wetter pattern returns to California next week, the dry pattern of the past 4 YEARS is only worsening one of the worst droughts in a lifetime. The Sierra snow pack is sitting at a mere 6% of normal and never has there been so little snow as of April 1. This has forced the […]
The days of showing you snow charts are very much numbered. While more snow is expected in the Northeast this weekend, I believe next week heralds the shift that finally takes winter north until Fall. Because of a system crossing the GL next 2 days, we’re going to see snow through parts of the Midwest […]
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