United States of America
This seasonal outlook for the upcoming Summer of 2015 for the United States is based on past and current pattern and influences of current and projected sea surface temperatures and El Nino. For the past two straight winter seasons, a warmer than normal 2-metre temperature pattern has resided from California across to Arizona up the West side of North America […]
As stated in last night’s post, we have another snow system pushing through the Northeast tonight and this may bring snow even to Boston and New York, most certainly to points inland to the west. Latest ECMWF snowfall through the next 48h. GFS [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Also pointed out last night that the end to all […]
While more than two dozen record lows were set in the East this morning, let’s firstly not forget the level of warmth which lifted all the way to Montana yesterday. The 83 was an all-time record for March in Miles City. Some very gusty winds helped boost temps and fire danger east of the Rockies yesterday. […]
Los Angeles recorded a record 6th day in the 90s yesterday while it neared 100 to the east over the Desert. Today, the record heat is all the way to Wyoming and Montana. Temp of at least 83 in Miles City, MT ties the all-time March record high. Billings hit at least 80 which sets a daily record. As […]
While a lot of attention is on the Eastern chill, let’s not forget the significance of the Southwest heat. Another day of 90s with some approaching 100 over Southern California as of this writing. Drought and abnormally warm offshore waters makes me think that this early season heat wave may be a sign of something greater […]
First comes the snowstorm… Probability of snow over the Northeast Saturday night. ECMWF snow through 72h. Still plenty of snow up in New England to help drive temps down behind the system. Then comes the cold… 10-20, locally 25 below normal Sunday morning. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As for Out West, it’s all about the heat and record […]
Moore, Oklahoma is hit yet again!! Less than 2 years since the devastating EF5 which killed 24 back in May, 2013 and within one of the quietest opens to a severe weather season in US history. Scenes from Moore, OK yesterday… https://youtu.be/B_4QE4EjrNA Over 43,000 lightning strikes recorded on the Plains yesterday! Tornadoes in or near Moore, […]
For a second straight March, severe weather season has been literally non-existent. That can only be blamed or thanked on one major factor… Cold! Without the clash of warm and cold, the ingredients aren’t there but the upcoming days will change that as an arctic high drops out of Canada while warmth and humidity gets […]
With little or no change in SST’s (abnormally warm up West Coast), colder than normal Great Lakes etc, I see no reason to believe that the Alaska ridge/Eastern trough doesn’t persist through at least the first 15 days of April and therefore, like we’ve seen throughout the 2nd half of winter… warm West, cold or […]
While the remainder of spring 2015 is looking wet across much of the country, we’re beginning to see hints of drought now into the Northern Tier. This follows a drier than normal winter. In today’s video I showed the CFSv2 precip and temps for April through July and it looks like the model is going for warmer than […]

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