United States of America
This pattern is an interesting one worth watching as severe weather season ramps up in the Plains, a surge of summer progresses into the East while potential tropical trouble lurks off the Carolinas next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Firstly, here’s the latest ECMWF 5-day mean 500mb height anomalies. Day 0-5 Here comes that ridge into the Northeast day […]
With waters abnormally warm by up to 5C off the US Gulf and Southeast coast, not only is this making for the warmest March and April on record on land, this could also favour early season development. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The warm water itself won’t lead to tropical cyclone development but the pattern we’re entering could […]
Between South and North America, there is two extremes currently going off. While an enhanced sub-tropical jet is providing heavy, flooding rains across parts of the US Gulf Coast region and further heavy rain is expected over Texas in the next 2 weeks, further south into the tropics and sub-tropics it’s a very different story. Abnormally strong upper […]
While the Southeast system looks a mere wind and rain maker which quickly scoots out to sea, it’s the pattern shift coming that’s much more interesting. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The Pacific storm train is ramping up and as systems push into the West, so the thermal gradient sharpens and in turn so will the severe weather […]
Through April 25th, it’s been very wet for much of Texas and across the Gulf Coast region while dry or very dry throughout the West and Northern Plains. Interestingly, the above rainfall anomaly reflects warmest where wettest, coolest where driest. TOP IMAGE CREDIT: WeatherBug [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] However, the next 5 day 500mb height anomalies almost identically […]
I stand by the idea that April’s final week and May’s opening week is cool with a major storm threat on the East Coast. That very system could be responsible for recasting the upper atmospheric pattern and allowing the first real surge of ‘summer warmth’ into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. New York has managed to […]
For the past several days, the models have hinted at a fairly major storm system developing over the Southeast and riding up the East Coast at the close of April/beginning of May. While there’s a lot of uncertainty and it’s still a long way off (some 6 days out), based on current projections, this could […]
The first run of the Jamstec for winter 2015-16 is out. SST Precipitation Air temp See this morning’s Europe & United States videos for the discussion on the above! Will have a break down on the weekend and next week’s weather shortly. Stay tuned!
A couple of weeks ago I was leaning towards a warmer than normal May but as we progressed through this month I began to think twice. Based on several factors including the strong Alaska to Greenland block we’ve got going and will continue to drive a chilly, wet pattern for much of the US as we end April and […]
Plenty of west-east movement in the US weather pattern next 10 days with rumors of big east coasts storms. We shall see. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Here’s the ECMWF 7 day snow. 10 day Moral is, there’s plenty of fun and games in this pattern still. [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
Recent Comments