United States of America
When looking at the 5-day mean 500mb height anomalies off the models, there is one aspect which really sticks out. The warm water of the eastern Pacific has differing influence on the atmosphere depending upon latitude. The El Nino and dramatic warming over the eastern equatorial Pacific is already significantly influencing the US atmospheric pattern but our old friend, the […]
As Jen Carfagno of The Weather Channel correctly states, this is NOT your typical May surface chart! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] All within 12 hours… heavy, windblown snow from Denver to Cheyenne across to Rapid City, severe and tornadic thunderstorms for the Central and Southern Plains to a landfalling Tropical Storm Ana near Myrtle Beach, SC. The […]
Within 24 hours, the US landmass will have experienced major snowfall (Rockies/High Plains), severe weather including tornadoes and flash flooding on the Central/Southern Plains as well as a landfalling Tropical Cyclone (Ana) in the Carolinas. As AccuWeather’s Jesse Ferrell points out, this may be a first. Ana is now a fully tropical, 60 mph storm and […]
NHC has declared Tropical Storm Ana off the Carolina coast. This system is expected to drift towards the coast through the weekend with biggest impacts being coastal gales, flooding rainfall and beach erosion. As of the 5am advisory, Ana is a 1004mb, 45 mph subtropical storm. Ana is in no hurry, moving at only 1 […]
What Will Drive The US Winter Of 2015-16… El Nino Or Gulf Of Alaska Warm Pool For 3rd Straight Year?
There is a lot of uncertainty regarding the 2015-16 US winter, while some will scream warm based on the El Nino, other sources have it pegged as another big one for snow and cold in the East. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] I remain on the fence because IF and it’s a big if, the warmest waters of […]
The hurricane hunters are scheduled to fly into the system gathering steam over the Bahamas today to see what’s going on. NHC has this system at a 20% chance of development within the next 48 hours or 40% over the next 5 days. Visible satellite view yesterday evening shows this system gaining some organisation as […]
The parade of Pacific systems pushing east over the next 7-10 days with Southwest trough deepening to anomalous levels for May means big contrasts across the country, especially late week as heavy snow breaks out over the Rockies while the East is suddenly thrown into July! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Check out the ECMWF 500mb height anomalies for early Saturday morning. Check out […]
While the ecmwf is unimpressive with the system, the GFS on the other hand suggests a potential full fledged tropical storm hitting South Carolina by Friday! Apparently NHC have scheduled a recon flight into this system Wed! More detail in tomorrow’s write-up & video! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
Following the coldest Northeast January through March period since 1895, air conditioners will be buzzing throughout the region this week as the first surge of true summer heat pushes in. Be sure to check out today’s video which takes a quick look back at why the past 2 winters have been so cold and just […]
We now have the first legitimate US tropical or sub-tropical storm threat for May since 2012 along the Carolina coast this week as well as the first true surge of summer heat. It’s also going to be an active week out in the Plains with severe weather including tornado threats combined with flooding rains. There is a system developing east of Florida […]

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