United States of America
The past 20 days has seen the eastward progression of the MJO across the Pacific with a ramp up in tropical cyclones initially over the western basin and in the last week, the eastern basin. The abnormal warmth in the east has aided the rapid formation and intensification of both Andres and Blanca. The Gulf will be the place to […]
The abnormally warm eastern Pacific waters, while driving a warm West and cold East winter the past 2 years, it’s now responsible for getting the 2015 East Pacific Hurricane Season off to a record start by spawning two major hurricanes already. It’s also been responsible for the mega Southern Plains drought buster and brought a weirdly cool, wet May […]
What a turnaround! Following a very warm, dry May, June has started off record cool and wet across the Northeast. Boston has seen not one but two days in a row where the thermometer has failed to reach 50. You have to go all the way back to 1945 for the last time that’s occurred […]
This is a very PROGRESSIVE US pattern. Notice in the below day 0-15 how the ridges and troughs move along. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The ECMWF has the MJO influence on the US picking up as it crosses from 1 into 2 and eventually 3. These are progressive phases. Check out the Baja on the GFS! Potential for increased flood potential […]
Hello to meteorological summer of 2015… The pattern this month looks to be shaping up to be a very progressive one with warm surges coming and going only to be replaced by cool shots dropping out of Canada. Change is on the offing for the dry Eastern Seaboard while it’s finally heating up over the Desert Southwest […]
There’s quite the contrast currently between the Upper Midwest and East Coast. Both in very different air masses right now. Cool, dry Canadian air has allowed temps to fall into the 20s this morning from Minnesota into Michigan’s UP while it’s a summery 70s up the East Coast following daytime mid to upper 80s yesterday. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The immediate EC […]
As we well know, May have been rather wet and therefore cool over the Plains but models show the cool/wet area expanding eastwards in June. Soggy May’s in strengthening El Nino years often are a precursor to a cool, damp summer overall and we’re seeing that trend as we head into summer’s opening month with only regional […]
Oklahoma City, then Houston and now Dallas falls victim to an overnight deluge which forces an emergency and multiple major road closures. As much as 3-6 inches of rain fell over the Metroplex and surrounding area between midnight and 6-7am this morning. The latest in a series of flash flood events this month and part of […]
The US pattern is such that heights are building as we head into summer’s first month but heights are lowering underneath across Mexico, the Gulf and Caribbean. That bares watching and the modelling are even hinting at tropical mischief. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] ECMWF appears to have something drifting north over Cuba towards South Florida day 7-10. GFS sees […]
May 2015 will be long remembered as the month that busted the Texas drought with parts of the Plains approaching 30 inches in 30 days. For some, as much as 12 inches within 24 hours causing devastating flash flooding. 1-day rainfall over Texas! Metro Houston is the latest culprit with 10-11 inches falling overnight. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] […]
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