May 2015 will be long remembered as the month that busted the Texas drought with parts of the Plains approaching 30 inches in 30 days. For some, as much as 12 inches within 24 hours causing devastating flash flooding.

1-day rainfall over Texas!

Metro Houston is the latest culprit with 10-11 inches falling overnight.

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30-day rain totals over Southern Plains

What a difference a year makes!

May 20, 2014

May 19, 2015

Up to 600% normal rainfall.

The long 4-year Texas drought is over!!

Models show that air temperature will closely follow where ground is wet and dry over the next 15 days!

GFS ensemble 5-day mean 2m temps/anomalies

The above looks very similar to the CFSv2 temps for the month of June.

Heights build west to east across the country over the next 15 days but notice the big height falls down in the subtropics and tropics. This will be something worth watching for potential tropical development Also, a void in the cross country ridge will be left over Texas due to saturated ground.

See video for the discussion.

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Tags: el nino, southern plains drought, southern plains flooding, texas drought, texas floods