United States of America
In the last 48 hours, Danny has found an area of calm along with less dry air thus allowing the system to mature becoming the Atlantic’s fourth named storm and within barely the last 24 hours, the first hurricane and first major hurricane too. Current winds are 115 mph. Danny has become a Category 3 storm pretty far south also. The last time we’ve seen a major hurricane as […]
First and foremost, we have Tropical Storm Danny out over the east central Atlantic and showing strong signs of becoming 2015’s first hurricane. Latest visible satellite imagery shows a little eye within Danny. The NHC has this as a hurricane crossing the northern Lesser Antilles early next week. Model spray for Danny. Does this have any threat on the […]
During the summer months when forecasting US weather, one must watch what’s going on the other side of the Pacific and when there’s typhoons, we pay particular attention. The Pacific has indeed been very active this year, largely down to the strong El Nino and warm PDO. The development of typhoons is one thing but […]
A large and deepening low crossing southern Canada has caused a sharp drop in temperatures over the N Plains with Pierre, SD going from 104 Saturday to the 60s today. As for points further east within the SW flow and strong August sun, temps are on the rise with widespread 90s up and down the East […]
The ridge that has been baking Texas has shifted west allowing showers and storms as far south as Houston. As well as building the heat west, it’s drove north, forcing highs to 107 degrees in Montana, 104 in North Dakota yesterday. Hot day yesterday was followed by a warm night in Montana. It was another hot day for Texas as […]
It seems every month according to NOAA and NASA are the warmest EVER. May was warmest, June was warmest and now July is warmest. That’s globally of course! With the strong El Nino well underway, let’s face it. Those on the global warming side of the argument need to push the warmth since this is […]
As we head for the fall, the influence of El Nino (already a big player) will only grow stronger. While many including myself ask whether the warm pool in North Pacific or equatorial Pacific wins out, it’s going to be interesting just how wet this winter will be in California. The US has already experienced significant […]
Here’s the CFSv2 precipitation and temperature for Sep/Oct. Interesting to see how the CFSv2 takes the wetter than normal east into the Southeast as we enter the heart of fall. Temperature wise, I think there’s a good deal of warm, settled and tranquil weather for a large portion of the country, possibly remaining on the […]
The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season is quiet, NHC has issued its quietest hurricane forecast ever with a 90% chance of a below normal season. The cooler-than normal water through the tropical Atlantic is a small part of the reason. The strongest El Nino since 1997 is one of two major factors, the other is the contrast in warm […]
When it comes to Texas in 2015, the El Nino gives then takes. It’s been about as extreme as it gets when it comes to flips in weather pattern. After a record wet and therefore cool April, May and for some, June too, the weather flipped big time to a dry and therefore hot July and […]
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