United Kingdom & Ireland
No Cold Pattern In Sight For Europe Next 2-3 Weeks, Strat Warming Favours US Cold Like Past 2 Years!
For many of us hoping for a pattern change to colder, well we’ll need to remain patient as the AO remains strongly positive but is expected to drop towards weak negative in the next week or so. However, the NAO doesn’t show any real sign of getting much below neutral over the next few weeks and that means the Atlantic continues to rule. A […]
38 out of the last 54 Christmas Days have seen falling somewhere in the UK. Widespread white Christmases (including snow cover) are much rarer. The last one was the record-breaker of 2010 which not only saw 83% of station reporting snow on the ground but 19% of stations also recorded snow falling. 2015 looks brown for at least 80% of […]
Every Saturday in the run up to New Year, I thought it would be good to take a step back in time and relive some of our most brutal and legendry British and European winters of the last 100 years. Following a series of mild, wet and often windy winters, 2009-10 came along, reminding us that we can […]
The big story in the past week has been the level of warmth rather than storminess. The jet stream weakened following a hyper active open to the month. The slacker jet has meant lows have been held largely west of the UK thanks to a more dominant high over Europe. This setup has meant a persistent flow straight NNE from a warm Azores and Africa. […]
As we continue to progress through December the connection between UK/Europe and the tropics continue. First it was warmth in November, then floods early December and now it’s back to warmth once again. Any real cold, typical of December is bottled way up in the arctic thanks to a very powerful polar vortex. Check out how warm it […]
The warmth has been longer and stronger than anticipated both over Europe as well as the Northern Hemisphere as a whole and the upcoming period between Dec 16 through Jan 5 is likely to hold the key in terms of where this winter will wind up. The warmth is nothing short of incredible, more May-like […]
The cold and snow of this past weekend across Highland Scotland is history mid and particularly late this week as a surge of exceptionally warm air lifts north via a series of NNE moving occluded fronts. As well as bringing further spells of heavy rain and abundant cloud, these waves of downright warm December air may threaten December records dating back many decades. […]
So far December is playing out as expected, predominantly mild with a strong westerly or zonal flow pattern throughout the mid-latitudes, UK especially! This westerly has accompanied frequent spells of flooding rain. Cold weather has been minimal. Combination of one of the strongest El Nino episodes on record (likely driven enhanced rainfall via a stronger sub-tropical jet) coupled with a very cold […]
Following a soaker of a Saturday across Ireland, Wales, central and southern England, there was a very impressive spread in UK temperature overnight. We’re separated by two very different air masses. Over the snowfields of Highland Scotland and beneath, clear, cold, calm skies it got down to -9C at Dalwhinnie, widely -2 to -4C but the Southern half of the country, it […]
Every Saturday in the run up to New Year, I thought it would be good to take a step back in time and relive some of our most brutal and legendry British and European winters of the last 100 years. The severe, relentless winter of 1946-47 will be long remembered as one of our most legendary. Last week A LOOK […]
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