United Kingdom & Ireland
Well the ECMWF continues to go with the extreme cold card by laying down a sufficient UK snow cover followed by a 1036 surface high which slides over the snow fields and drives night temps towards -15, even -20. The GFS on the other hand is playing it down. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It’s the finer details that will determine just how […]
As the title suggests, snow chances are on the increase this upcoming week with the fun and games likely to kick in mid week as low pressure moves into the North Sea and our flow becomes northerly. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] For Scotland, northern England and Wales as well as Ireland, snow is likely to come from […]
We all know it’s been a wet past 8 weeks but I thought this was an interesting stat we’re waking up to this morning. Aboyne, Aberdeenshire has comfortably broke their all-time record for January rainfall. Amazing is the fact we’re only 8 days into the month. Scene from Inverurie, Aberdeenshire last night. Many flood warnings […]
Our dream is about to become a reality with our long wait near over. The combined AO/NAO index appears to be heading to it’s most negative since the cold winters of 09-10, 10-11 and with such a strong polar vortex during November/December, one cannot rule out the extreme with this evolving pattern. It remains very wet […]
Winter has hit central and eastern Europe with a vengeance, the same region which bore the brunt of last summer’s intense heat and drought and of course experienced a warm autumn. This looks to be one of those great turnaround winters. Much about a week now, temperatures from east Germany north and east have shivered […]
It was a poor December ski-wise over the Alps, Pyrenees and mountains of south and east Europe. However a new year brings a new weather pattern, one much more suited to January and not October. Snow building over Spain’s Sierra Nevada too. Storm Frank’s punch of warmth into the arctic atmosphere and forced the plunge […]
With a deep, cold trough anchored over much of continental Europe and a large slow moving 976 low centred over Ireland, we have the continuation of a stuck moisture plume that streaming into eastern Scotland. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Here’s the ECMWF surface. With this being a relatively cool flow, driven by strong to gale-force SE winds, precipitation is falling as […]
With the help of Storm Frank and NOT strat warming, we now have arctic air dislodged and present within the mid latitudes including Europe. No evidence suggests pattern shift is down to a warming stratosphere. But Frank’s northward shove of warmth? Yes. Note at the very end of the animation and surge of strong positive towards the pole […]
I would like to you wish all a Happy New Year and all the very best for 2016! I woke this morning to our first dusting of snow. Well it’s probably of no surprise but December 2015 is officially the warmest on record for the UK. The very wet weather in December also puts 2015 within the […]
Powerful 929mb Storm Frank sure left a legacy behind creating havoc over many parts of the UK and Ireland, particularly Scotland this time. He’s also been responsible for pumping incredible warmth all the way to the pole where it went from -20s to 0C while Svalbard north of Norway topped +10C yesterday when they should be […]
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