United Kingdom & Ireland
We’re fast approaching the release date of the Summer 2016 Forecast (Sunday May 1). Last year was, as expected a disappointing one with plenty of rain and at times record cool following the brief spell of record heat to open July (remember the 36C at Heathrow?). This followed back to back ‘good summers’ in 2013, 2014 and the first […]
Given the build-up of pressure specifically from Atlantic up over Greenland into the arctic at this time of year in response to tremendous strat warming event through late March, expect cooler than normal to rule through the rest of April over the UK and especially south into Iberia. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This is a blocking pattern that will […]
With a major blocking pattern developing (boulder setting up within the atmosphere extending from central Atlantic up over Greenland), the typical westerly flow shuts down and air masses are forced south or north often bringing anomalous weather. Blocked patterns create ‘build-up’. Large and dominant highs re-route weather and at times corner it when surrounded, keeping a system stuck in a given […]
We have late season arctic air draped across Ireland and the UK today, feeling distinctly cool, particularly if exposed to that stiff westerly breeze. This air mass can be traced all the way back to the Canadian Arctic where originally it supported temps of -10 to -30C, thankfully crossing 3,000 miles of Atlantic Ocean and SST’s at […]
Conditions improve through today across Spain but they go downhill over southern France while up here in Scotland, it’s less wet than yesterday with brightness returning later in the day from the west. Yesterday’s highs across Europe. Cool across Scotland and central Spain where heavy rain clouds lingered, positively summer-like further east. This morning’s infrared. Coolest beneath the rain […]
It’s been an unsettled, cool pattern across Iberia in recent days and things will get worse before better as a deep, cold low sweeps in during Monday bringing windy as well as very wet conditions. Local flooding is inevitable for many central and southern parts of Spain. Snow has been significant in the northwest of Spain […]
Expect a cooler west, warmer east pattern through the first 15 days of April but troughiness doesn’t mean wet, expect spells of wet and dry, especially later next week as heights look to rise across the Northern UK and Scandinavia, lower down into Iberia day 6 onwards. Pattern looks very blocking April 10 on which could support […]
From Met Office Provisional figures up until 28 March show that most of England has had a wetter than average March but parts of Scotland have been much drier than average. In this topsy-turvy set up, figures also show that the north of the UK enjoyed warmer than average conditions for the first month of […]
As we enter spring’s 2nd half we firstly look back at March. As we enter April, warmth matures over North Africa as the scorching heat core begins to migrate northward to the Sahara. During winter, the sub-tropical ridge we worship throughout the Med each summer, starts off just above the equator and as the sun angle rises and the incoming solar radiation […]
We have a classic late March/early April temperature rollercoaster. With a still active and progressive upper air flow crossing the Atlantic and Europe and with warmth building over Africa/Med but cold holding strong across Greenland and northern Scandinavia, we have a fight. With lows remaining active from Atlantic into the Western side of Europe, you can […]
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