United Kingdom & Ireland
Storm Carolina brought a stormy day across northern Scotland and a blustery day elsewhere. Winds peaked at between 80-90 mph on the low level northern mainland, 112 mph over the Cairngorms. Now that the centre is moving away towards Scandinavia, the arctic door has been opened. The frequent, blustery showers overnight tonight and through tomorrow […]
With an easterly QBO, phase 5 into 6 MJO, La Nina and perturbed polar vortex and reflective high latitude blocking underneath, many things point to a prolonged spell of cooler than average pattern on both sides of the pond. GFS ensemble shows the blocky pattern maintaining. Check out the 500mb height anomaly 5-day means. 2m […]
In anticipation of the incoming Wed/Thu system, the Met Office has named Storm Caroline, the 3rd of the season so far. Caroline is a deepening feature driven by a large thermal gradient in the Atlantic. Here’s Caroline gaining strength out over the Atlantic today. With this system we’ll get a taste of both ‘very mild’ […]
We have quite the temperature rollercoaster coming this week with warmth early to especially mid week follow immediately by bitter cold , wind and snow showers snow to end. A developing low riding the boundary between arctic and subtropical will cross the country later Wednesday into Thursday. Check out the 24-hour 850mb temperature difference between […]
As expected, winds turned northeasterly last night and so cold winds blowing across a relatively warm North Sea Coast brought pockets of heavy, wind driven snowfall from Aberdeenshire down to Norfolk even the London area. Away from the east coast it’s was sunny but cool, especially in the breeze. These showers delivered some fine snow […]
I received a phone call this morning to say Aberdeen city centre was gridlock. If you took the GFS literally, a large swathe of Central Scotland could be severely disrupted next Thursday. I’m most certainly not saying it can’t happen. This pattern certainly could deliver but what the GFS is printing out would be a […]
The northerly continues to chill the UK but it’s nothing unusual for the time of year in all honesty. Today is cool, especially in the breeze but Thursday looks coldest with UK-wide temperatures in the 2-4C range following a widespread frost to start the day. -6 or -7C possible in shelter tonight. After what will […]
While Summit Station, Greenland has warmed 41C in 8 days from -55C to a current -14C, the west coast of Greenland enjoyed a balmy 12C, that’s 12 ABOVE freezing at Kangerlussuaq. The average maximum at this time of year here is -7C! The surge is warmth is all thanks to the strong upper ridge that’s replacing high octane […]
Steep 5-7 day rises in temperature over Greenland typically heralds a developing -NAO and that’s exactly what we’re seeing now which promises a chilly week dominated by northerly winds over the UK. Temps have went from -55 to -22 and it’s likely to warm further in the next few days. The reason for warming is […]
It’s been a cool weekend featuring disruptive wintry showers in north and west and widespread frost. Looking ahead at next week, it appears we firmly hold onto the cool theme once a system sweeps through tonight and tomorrow. In the wake of the low, heights rise to the west of the UK while a meso-vortex […]
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