United Kingdom & Ireland
2018 and 2006 is so close that it’s all down to today, meteorological summer’s final day to determine whether this year is warmest on record or whether the 2006 record remains. However, it was anything but warm in the Highlands this morning and even right the way down to East Anglia where a ground frost […]
After a slap in the face of reality over the last 10 days or so there is growing confidence that yet another stretch of dry, sunny and increasingly warm to even hot weather may return to the UK as well as western Europe starting this weekend. The models are in pretty good agreement that high […]
The coolest air in ‘months’ will bring an historically warm summer of 2018 to an end. It’s all about the final numbers and whether this summer has matched or exceeded 2006 as warmest on record. The frequent, intense and long lasting hot spells of this summer have proven to be remarkable, even exceeding 1976. […]
From May 1 through July 31, the majority of Europe and in fact the Hemisphere has been unseasonably warm, record breaking warm. This can be directly attributed to the pre-Super El Nino ocean warming and post El Nino heat release into the atmosphere. Another key factor I believe was in fact the cooling of the […]
Like Debby a week ago, Ernesto formed over unusually warm waters at an unusually far north location. About 1,000 miles southeast of Nova Scotia. Despite crossing the sub-16C waters of the North Atlantic and accelerating in forward sweep, favourable atmospheric conditions allowed the system to remain tropical and only the 12th tropical cyclone within the […]
Thanks to the Icelandic trough regaining strength and firmly positioned to the NW of Scotland, the Atlantic winds are back in control and that means typical summer weather with lows and associated fronts sweeping through every other day. The good news is it’s by no means a washout but more changeable with brief ridging and […]
There’s little doubt that many will be asking why 2018 was such a warm one across the Northern Hemisphere. I believe it’s very likely down to the response and lag of the Super El Nino which peaked during the winter of 2015-2016 combined with the cooling Atlantic basin. El Ninos typically release heat from […]
Low 30s for England and mid 30s for France and low 40s for Iberia persist. With the exceptions of Iberia, this summer is turning out to be a relentless for heat. However for those sweating in southern England and much of France, there is very welcome relief on it’s way, we just need to get […]
Could summer 2018 be remembered for the year the Mediterranean shifted to Scandinavia? An unusually persistent and hot sun with day after day soaring to between 27-32C on land and a lack of wind out over the water has allowed Scandinavian waters to heat to remarkable levels. Levels you’d even find warm in parts of […]
At the peak of last week’s heat, when the mid 30s was expected in the Southeast of England, Scotland was only forecasted to reach 25 or 26C. With the aid of southerly winds and some downslope enhancement off the Grampians, 30C was achieved in Scotland for a third time this summer. This time it was […]
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