United Kingdom & Ireland
We saw a largely undisturbed period of fine, dry, warm anticyclonic weather across many parts of the Boreal North during the height of the summer. Likely driven by the lag of the 2016 Super El Nino, favorable MJO phases and a lack of Atlantic tropical activity. However, since the tropics came to life in August, […]
As we continue to see the ups and downs of the current pattern, our attention is turning to Hurricane Leslie and the complexities which surround her influence on the UK and the wider West of Europe next week. A lot can change and we know the models don’t handle tropical interaction well but there are […]
It’s turning out to be quite the stormy September with one deepening low after the next lining up to strike the UK. It’s like the atmosphere is playing catch up after the unusually lengthy spell of quiet during the summer. The flip in the skipping rope goes down to the uptick in global tropical activity […]
With a busy tropics globally of late, we have seen a lot of warm, humid air lift north thus powering an unusually strong 175 mph Atlantic jet stream. This is throwing one ‘autumnal low’ after the other across the UK. Hot on the heels of Ex Hurricane Helene, the UK, particularly Northern Ireland and southern/central […]
It’s been on the charts for several days and now we’re under Helene’s wind and rain this evening. Nothing unusual about this but sure is bringing a wet night here in Oban with local flooding a given. Latest radar shows that I’m under the shield of heaviest rains from Helene. Surface/precip chart for tonight. While […]
No we won’t see a hurricane but if current projections are in any way right, our weather could be reshaped by the northward presence of tropical energy. Tropical systems can do one of two things or both for Europe, 1) make a direct impact bringing wind and rain from it’s former tropical self or 2) […]
Up until the beginning of last week, September was looking largely high pressure dominated but with a sharp increase in global cyclone activity, the prospects shifted quite abruptly. This pattern shift is in contrast to the remarkably persistent ridging and settled weather of June and July. The tropical Pacific has been playing a key role […]
The below article is from the Met Office. 31 August 2018 Update: Having further assessed the temperature data for the UK as a whole for summer 2018 the figures are so close that we are declaring it as the joint hottest on record together with 2006, 2003 and 1976. The margin between the mean temperatures […]

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