United Kingdom & Ireland
No we won’t see a hurricane but if current projections are in any way right, our weather could be reshaped by the northward presence of tropical energy. Tropical systems can do one of two things or both for Europe, 1) make a direct impact bringing wind and rain from it’s former tropical self or 2) […]
Up until the beginning of last week, September was looking largely high pressure dominated but with a sharp increase in global cyclone activity, the prospects shifted quite abruptly. This pattern shift is in contrast to the remarkably persistent ridging and settled weather of June and July. The tropical Pacific has been playing a key role […]
The below article is from the Met Office. 31 August 2018 Update: Having further assessed the temperature data for the UK as a whole for summer 2018 the figures are so close that we are declaring it as the joint hottest on record together with 2006, 2003 and 1976. The margin between the mean temperatures […]
Just two days after Braemar dipped to an overnight low of -1.3C on the morning of August 31, just two afternoon’s later and Lossiemouth warmed to 26C. Braemar’s low was the lowest UK value since May and of all the summer but with the aid of an approaching front driving warm SSW winds over the […]
2018 and 2006 is so close that it’s all down to today, meteorological summer’s final day to determine whether this year is warmest on record or whether the 2006 record remains. However, it was anything but warm in the Highlands this morning and even right the way down to East Anglia where a ground frost […]
After a slap in the face of reality over the last 10 days or so there is growing confidence that yet another stretch of dry, sunny and increasingly warm to even hot weather may return to the UK as well as western Europe starting this weekend. The models are in pretty good agreement that high […]
The coolest air in ‘months’ will bring an historically warm summer of 2018 to an end. It’s all about the final numbers and whether this summer has matched or exceeded 2006 as warmest on record. The frequent, intense and long lasting hot spells of this summer have proven to be remarkable, even exceeding 1976. […]
From May 1 through July 31, the majority of Europe and in fact the Hemisphere has been unseasonably warm, record breaking warm. This can be directly attributed to the pre-Super El Nino ocean warming and post El Nino heat release into the atmosphere. Another key factor I believe was in fact the cooling of the […]
Like Debby a week ago, Ernesto formed over unusually warm waters at an unusually far north location. About 1,000 miles southeast of Nova Scotia. Despite crossing the sub-16C waters of the North Atlantic and accelerating in forward sweep, favourable atmospheric conditions allowed the system to remain tropical and only the 12th tropical cyclone within the […]
Thanks to the Icelandic trough regaining strength and firmly positioned to the NW of Scotland, the Atlantic winds are back in control and that means typical summer weather with lows and associated fronts sweeping through every other day. The good news is it’s by no means a washout but more changeable with brief ridging and […]
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