United Kingdom & Ireland
This very unsettled and unseasonable weather for mid-July ain’t going anywhere fast I’m afraid. After a very wet and windy night across Northern Ireland and Scotland with significant flooding in areas, today will be showery with a continued stiff breeze. We had a terrific lightning display overnight across parts of Southeast and Northwest England as well as […]
This latest northward warm surge from Iberia through France into the southern UK comes and goes almost immediately. Triggered and brought to an abrupt end by an unusually deep approaching Atlantic low which arrives tonight. Latest visible satellite imagery shows the low gathering and approaching Ireland while out ahead, cloudless skies and SSE winds push heat and humidity north up through France into […]
Today Marks Summer 2015’s Half Way Point And Atlantic Is Very Much Driving Europe’s Summer (& Year)!
Today marks the mid way point of summer 2015 and it’s very apparent that the ocean and it’s cold and warm anomalies are reflecting the land temperature and precipitation distribution anomalies this year. Where surrounding waters are cold and the ground is wet, it’s cool overall and where waters are warm and ground is dry, it’s warmer than normal, […]
The jet stream doesn’t typically warrant much mention during the warm season as it’s a weaker feature that is often or should be to our north. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] However this week the transatlantic jet strengthens and buckles and by doing so, it develops an usually deep little low for mid July by late week. On a positive note, it […]
As you well know, July commenced record hot across much of Western Europe but since the 5th, we’ve returned to the pattern we’ve had all along and that’s an ‘Atlantic westerly’. Here was the departures from normal across the continent yesterday. Month-to-date Sure, it’s still very warm, however the departures are being chipped away at […]
In today’s post I wanted to take a first look at autumn and also discuss more winter thoughts too. Here’s a look at the Jamstec for autumn and winter. The Jamstec is going with a ‘wettish’ autumn but dry winter. Sep-Nov Dec-Feb It’s looking very dry throughout the period for the western mainland of Europe. […]
A few folks have came up to me in recent times and said how terrible this summer’s been. I would disagree with that for the simple fact that I remember washout June’s and July’s. This year is no washout. Those were the terrible ones. At least we’re getting the sun, warmth (at times) and then […]
Within the first 10 days of July, we’ve went from the hottest July day on record last week to at least 3 locations experiencing their coldest July night on record. Katesbridge, Co Down woke to a frosty 0.3C, Strathallan, Perthshire 2.3C and Gogarbank (Edinburgh Airport) 3.7C all set new cold records for July. Scotland last Wednesday… This morning… Strathallan, Gogarbank and […]
Based on all the information presented to me at this time, the upcoming winter 2015-16 probably has the greatest level of uncertainty. El Ninos, like other big drivers are not created equally. Our warmest and cold winters have occurred during El Nino years. i.e, 2009-10 which was a moderate event and brought the UK’s coldest […]
What a difference a week makes and a south wind right? Last week saw UK temperatures reach a Mediterranean 25-36C. Areas across Scotland such as Aviemore topped out at 29C. This is what’s coming this Wednesday and Thursday thanks to a completely opposite wind direction… NORTHERLY! Frost Thursday morning? Here’s the GFS surface temps. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Yes, a rare July frost […]
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