Spring 2015
Recent posts/videos have very much focused on the amount of liquid projected across the Deep South. With a warmer warm east Pacific and Gulf, rainfall is likely to be enhanced, especially as the El Nino gets going. Latest infrared images are showing a very ‘El Nino’ look with enhanced convection on a very pronounced southern […]
Back in March 2012 I was led into a false sense of security. After a disappointing winter 2011-12 which was unusually cold over Europe, was rather mild here in the UK. We ended up experiencing the warmest March on record here in Scotland with three straight days of all-time record warmth. Each day was warmer than […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Check this out for late week as the latest Pacific storm system dives SE across the Rockies. The GFS has backed off significantly after having 30″ of snow for Denver. The ECMWF still has a major snow event of 4-8″. The key for Denver is whether the surface low tracks to the south […]
Tuesday will be a near carbon copy of Monday, persistent rain will stream into the western side of Scotland with high elevations capturing the bulk of the moisture leaving it much drier further east. But over West Highland recording stations, we could see rain totals mounting to 3, maybe 4″ over this soggy 48 hour […]
The much anticipated and rather dramatic NW to SE divide is setting up nicely as we commence the new week. A frontal boundary marking the northern flank of high pressure will drop south over Scotland later today and this will settle overhead for a couple of days making for a rather soggy affair for particularly the West Highlands. [s2If […]
The winter hangover is set to persist over the Eastern United States as we enter April’s 2nd half. The chilly theme which temporarily breaks this week, returns because of the stubborn feedback of exceptionally warm water extending from the eastern equatorial Pacific to Alaska’s southern shore and likely by the ongoing stratospheric warming we are […]
We have a lot of interesting weather coming up this week and in the coming weeks. Starting with the upcoming 7 days, look for a big time north-south divide over the UK, especially as we enter the middle part of the week. Today’s wet and breezy system that’s even bringing snow back to high level […]
It’s a soaker of a weekend and week ahead along the Gulf Coast as warm, humid air lifts north out of the Gulf up against a stalled frontal boundary on the southern flank of a large high pressure system. That high dominates the Heartland into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. That high and it’s position to the SW means a […]
There are some strong similarities between this year and last. SSTA’s, with slight but important differences, the cold spring, slow start to severe weather season and the winter pattern overall. Here are the global SSTA’s this year vs last. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] With warmer water off all three US coastlines (West, Gulf, East Coast) expect wetter conditions and in turn lower heights for […]
Latest run of the CFSv2 I think reflects well my UK summer idea but doesn’t for the rest of Europe. I have it warmer, drier into the South and Southwest (Iberia), cooler, wetter for the North (Scandinavia). Latest 700mb anomaly 2m temp anomalies. Rather than the warm, dry anticyclonic pattern of June-July 2013 and […]
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