Seasonal Forecasts

Gales This Weekend Followed By Warm and Cold Shots Next Week?

Gales This Weekend Followed By Warm and Cold Shots Next Week?

Yesterday’s persistent and at times heavy rain across Wales and England marked the divide between two quite different air masses and during the slowly lengthening overnight hours, that difference was most noticeable. For a fairly dry South of England and Wales, there was more rain which fell yesterday than in all of July, not difficult given […]

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Record Hot July 2016 For Millions Across America, Ellicott City, MD Flash Flood

Written by on August 1, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
Record Hot July 2016 For Millions Across America, Ellicott City, MD Flash Flood

It was a hot July for millions across America! Blame El Nino… 19 nights at or above 80F, 6 more than previous record. Columbia, SC Charlotte, NC Let’s not forget the historic flooding in Ellicott City, MD Great piece by Capital Weather Gang This is how an ‘off-the-charts’ flood ravaged Ellicott City See tonight’s video. […]

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97L On Brink Of Becoming Earl, Potential Hurricane Threat For Belize/Yucatan

Written by on August 1, 2016 in North and South America, Summer 2016, Tropical with 0 Comments
97L On Brink Of Becoming Earl, Potential Hurricane Threat For Belize/Yucatan

Looks like we have Tropical Storm Earl on the way. Looking healthy with improving outflow and a likely developing closed circulation. Water vapour shows little dry air around and ahead of the system. Waters are bathtub warm and there’s a good atmospheric environment around and ahead of this system. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Model spray focuses on […]

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Low Pressure Train Continues Into August

Low Pressure Train Continues Into August

In contrast to June, July has been a damp affair across Northern Ireland and Scotland while dry in southern England and Wales. It was especially dry along the south-central Channel coast with barely a millimetre falling on the Isle of Wight. This was in stark contrast to the soggy June here. August opens opposite again with plenty of rain running along a west-east front attached […]

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Urban Heat Island Effect

Urban Heat Island Effect

It’s commonly known that cities are hotter than rural areas with concrete and steel retaining heat while vegetation reflects it. The effect is most noticeable at night while hot buildings re release built up heat during the day into the atmosphere at night, rural areas cool the atmosphere. I’ve done little coverage on this important topic and thought in […]

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Record Hot July From New Mexico To Florida, Tropics Beginning To Catch Our Attention

Written by on July 29, 2016 in Summer 2016, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
Record Hot July From New Mexico To Florida, Tropics Beginning To Catch Our Attention

The sun is up and revealed and much more robust 96L with deep cyclonic convection shown in satellite imagery. Despite looking good this morning, there are a lot of obstacles in the way of both 96L and 97L, positioned well to the west of 96L in the central tropical Atlantic. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The models show one […]

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CHRIS BURT: Hottest Reliably Measured Air Temperatures on Earth

CHRIS BURT: Hottest Reliably Measured Air Temperatures on Earth

By: Christopher C. Burt , 10:45 PM GMT on July 22, 2016 Hottest Reliably Measured Air Temperatures on Earth As Jeff Masters mentioned in his recent blog, a temperature of 54.0°C (129.2°F) was observed at Mitribah, Kuwait on July 21st. According to the Kuwait Meteorological Department this was the hottest temperature ever measured in the […]

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Atlantic Jet Stream To Go From Summer To Autumn Strength Next Week

Atlantic Jet Stream To Go From Summer To Autumn Strength Next Week

Late July is generally considered the peak of summer with the subtropical ridge strongest and furthest north flooding the majority of the mid latitudes in warmth. At the pole, cold is shrunk and so the jet stream is typically weak and further north. Recent weeks has seen that typically weak jet but it’s position north varies and a lot can be determined […]

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US: Warm Records Go Through The Roof Thanks To El Nino, Tropics Finally Wakening?

Written by on July 28, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
US: Warm Records Go Through The Roof Thanks To El Nino, Tropics Finally Wakening?

Before I get into the tropics, the below graphic off the weather channel caught my eye and got me thinking. Yes, we are seeing a tremendous and potentially unprecedented level of warmth in 2016 not just in the US but globally due to the natural atmospheric reaction to the record tying El Nino. I say potentially because I cannot turn round […]

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MET OFFICE: State of UK Climate 2015 & Exceptional December Rainfall & Warmth

MET OFFICE: State of UK Climate 2015 & Exceptional December Rainfall & Warmth

The State of the UK Climate report is an annual publication which provides an accessible, authoritative and up-to-date assessment of UK climate trends, variations and extremes based on the latest available climate quality observational datasets. Latest report Download the 2015 report. This should be cited as Kendon, M., McCarthy, M., Jevrejeva, S. and Legg, T. […]

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