Seasonal Forecasts
Live in the UK or Ireland and wondering where winter is, well there’s plenty of it over the continent. We’ve a big high dominating with Siberian air trapped beneath. With HP to the east and LP to the west, the UK finds itself trapped under a mild, moist southerly flow with little eastward progression in this dreary […]
The GFS ensemble continues to show the large warm pool at 50hpa shifting from Northern Greenland to Scandinavia and towards the northern Europe-Asia border by day 10. This would be a similar position to what we saw back in October-November. This to me reflects a Scandinavia high pressure blocking pattern. Favourable for at least some easterly flow […]
Think last week was cold, the new week ahead promises to be even colder and likely record challenging. First we’re dealing with snowfall stretching from Portland, OR to Portland, ME. The core of this 2nd wave of cold remains north of the US-Canada border but this air mass is already oozing south into Montana and […]
It’s simple, Western Europe has been bathing in mild air and shall continue to do so through at least the next 5 days while Eastern and Southeastern Europe remains cold with lows feeding in Siberian brand air. However, the GFS operational and other models suggest somewhat of a flip coming in the medium range. GFS meteogram for Moscow shows a cold trend and […]
The weather may be relatively unexciting here in Western Europe these days but it’s a very different story in the East. In the last 48 hours, a major snowstorm has all but crippled the Murmansk area of far NW Russia as mild, moist Atlantic air has crossed Germany, Poland and bumped up against the wall of […]
By Brian Donegan Published Dec 8 2016 05:18 PM EST weather.com Story Highlights An arctic air mass has overtaken the Great Lakes region. The air is more than cold enough to produce lake-effect snow. Localized squalls will dump significant accumulations downwind of the lakes. Lake-effect snow will continue to hammer the Great Lakes region through […]
From October to early December, cold has favoured Eurasia while it left North America out. From particularly November, a steep temperature gradient over Asia led to a stronger than normal Pacific jet and this in turn deepened the Aleutian trough which drove warm oceanic air across North America. However, a shift in the 50mb stratospheric temperature profile over the last 10 […]

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