Seasonal Forecasts

Where’s Winter? Over Much Of Europe… Turkey Braces For 40″+ Snowfall, Blizzard Conditions Followed By -20sC

Written by on December 13, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Where’s Winter? Over Much Of Europe… Turkey Braces For 40″+ Snowfall, Blizzard Conditions Followed By -20sC

Live in the UK or Ireland and wondering where winter is, well there’s plenty of it over the continent. We’ve a big high dominating with Siberian air trapped beneath. With HP to the east and LP to the west, the UK finds itself trapped under a mild, moist southerly flow with little eastward progression in this dreary […]

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GFS Goes Wild With Midwest Weekend Cold, -20s Minneapolis, -10s Chicago

Written by on December 12, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
GFS Goes Wild With Midwest Weekend Cold, -20s Minneapolis, -10s Chicago

Now this would be something for the weekend! Sat morn. Sun morn Mon morn Temps in Minneapolis has not hit -24 since the January 2004 outbreak. Watch this morning’s video.

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Weak, Semi-Warm Stratosphere Makes Xmas/New Year/Early January Uncertain But Leaning Cold

Written by on December 12, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Weak, Semi-Warm Stratosphere Makes Xmas/New Year/Early January Uncertain But Leaning Cold

The GFS ensemble continues to show the large warm pool at 50hpa shifting from Northern Greenland to Scandinavia and towards the northern Europe-Asia border by day 10. This would be a similar position to what we saw back in October-November. This to me reflects a Scandinavia high pressure blocking pattern. Favourable for at least some easterly flow […]

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Portland, OR To Portland, ME Snowstorm Lays Track For 2nd, Stronger ‘Polar-Siberia’ Express

Written by on December 11, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Portland, OR To Portland, ME Snowstorm Lays Track For 2nd, Stronger ‘Polar-Siberia’ Express

Think last week was cold, the new week ahead promises to be even colder and likely record challenging. First we’re dealing with snowfall stretching from Portland, OR to Portland, ME. The core of this 2nd wave of cold remains north of the US-Canada border but this air mass is already oozing south into Montana and […]

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Interesting Output From CFS For Christmas Week, Siberia To UK Cold Lurking For January?

Written by on December 11, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Interesting Output From CFS For Christmas Week, Siberia To UK Cold Lurking For January?

It’s simple, Western Europe has been bathing in mild air and shall continue to do so through at least the next 5 days while Eastern and Southeastern Europe remains cold with lows feeding in Siberian brand air. However, the GFS operational and other models suggest somewhat of a flip coming in the medium range. GFS meteogram for Moscow shows a cold trend and […]

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Atlantic Meets Arctic Resulting In Crippling Snowfall For Murmansk, More To Come Next Week

Written by on December 10, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Atlantic Meets Arctic Resulting In Crippling Snowfall For Murmansk, More To Come Next Week

The weather may be relatively unexciting here in Western Europe these days but it’s a very different story in the East. In the last 48 hours, a major snowstorm has all but crippled the Murmansk area of far NW Russia as mild, moist Atlantic air has crossed Germany, Poland and bumped up against the wall of […]

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1st of 3 Waves of Arctic/Siberian Air Presents Casper, Wyoming’s Coldest Night In 25 Years! COLDER Next Week!

Written by on December 9, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
1st of 3 Waves of Arctic/Siberian Air Presents Casper, Wyoming’s Coldest Night In 25 Years! COLDER Next Week!

What an open to December in the wake of a record warm fall. The 1st of three major cold blasts to sweep into the Lower 48 has already left it’s mark by driving Casper, WY to initially -31 (coldest reading since Feb 2006) and then -33 an hour or so later, making for the coldest low in 25 […]

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MET OFFICE: Flooding in Cumbria December 2015

MET OFFICE: Flooding in Cumbria December 2015

Given the quiet nature of this December, I thought it would be good to look back at the same period a year ago and how very different our weather was… ARTICLE FROM THE MET OFFICE Heavy rainfall from Friday 4 to Sunday 6 December led to widespread flooding in Cumbria and across other parts of […]

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TWC: Widespread and Heavy Lake-Effect Snow Impacting the Great Lakes

Written by on December 8, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
TWC: Widespread and Heavy Lake-Effect Snow Impacting the Great Lakes

By Brian Donegan Published Dec 8 2016 05:18 PM EST weather.com Story Highlights An arctic air mass has overtaken the Great Lakes region. The air is more than cold enough to produce lake-effect snow. Localized squalls will dump significant accumulations downwind of the lakes. Lake-effect snow will continue to hammer the Great Lakes region through […]

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Polar Vortex Now Favouring North America Cold, Europe Warmth But Shift Likely Later December

Polar Vortex Now Favouring North America Cold, Europe Warmth But Shift Likely Later December

From October to early December, cold has favoured Eurasia while it left North America out. From particularly November, a steep temperature gradient over Asia led to a stronger than normal Pacific jet and this in turn deepened the Aleutian trough which drove warm oceanic air across North America. However, a shift in the 50mb stratospheric temperature profile over the last 10 […]

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