Seasonal Forecasts
This latest northward warm surge from Iberia through France into the southern UK comes and goes almost immediately. Triggered and brought to an abrupt end by an unusually deep approaching Atlantic low which arrives tonight. Latest visible satellite imagery shows the low gathering and approaching Ireland while out ahead, cloudless skies and SSE winds push heat and humidity north up through France into […]
The main weather system on the US maps these days is probably the Lower Mississippi Valley to Southeast ridge because it’s this that’s helping start the Southwest monsoon season and it’s this that’s also contributing to the severe thunderstorms firing on the Northern Plains into the Lower Midwest today. The position of the ridge is […]
Today Marks Summer 2015’s Half Way Point And Atlantic Is Very Much Driving Europe’s Summer (& Year)!
Today marks the mid way point of summer 2015 and it’s very apparent that the ocean and it’s cold and warm anomalies are reflecting the land temperature and precipitation distribution anomalies this year. Where surrounding waters are cold and the ground is wet, it’s cool overall and where waters are warm and ground is dry, it’s warmer than normal, […]
The tropical Pacific continues to cook with the latest system, Dolores off Mexico’s west coast expected to become a yet another major storm. Luckily for Mexico, it looks to have indirect impacts. Meanwhile, we’ve recently had a surprise pop over the Gulf stream off the East Coast US, Tropical Storm Claudette has formed and thankfully for […]
The jet stream doesn’t typically warrant much mention during the warm season as it’s a weaker feature that is often or should be to our north. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] However this week the transatlantic jet strengthens and buckles and by doing so, it develops an usually deep little low for mid July by late week. On a positive note, it […]
With the exceptions of the Pacific Northwest, it’s been a rather cool first half to July with even areas which saw a record warm June, cooler than normal. The core of cool with large area of 4 below normal is centred pretty much where the wettest ground is. July opens coolest in 31 years for Chicago […]
As you well know, July commenced record hot across much of Western Europe but since the 5th, we’ve returned to the pattern we’ve had all along and that’s an ‘Atlantic westerly’. Here was the departures from normal across the continent yesterday. Month-to-date Sure, it’s still very warm, however the departures are being chipped away at […]
In today’s post I wanted to take a first look at autumn and also discuss more winter thoughts too. Here’s a look at the Jamstec for autumn and winter. The Jamstec is going with a ‘wettish’ autumn but dry winter. Sep-Nov Dec-Feb It’s looking very dry throughout the period for the western mainland of Europe. […]
It’s been a very warm start to 2015 for the Western US with 8 states recording their warmest opening to any 6 months in history. As previously stated, this can be blamed on one major factor. The ABNORMALLY warm water extending from the equator (& beyond) up to shores of Alaska. Because of that warm water, especially […]
A few folks have came up to me in recent times and said how terrible this summer’s been. I would disagree with that for the simple fact that I remember washout June’s and July’s. This year is no washout. Those were the terrible ones. At least we’re getting the sun, warmth (at times) and then […]
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