Seasonal Forecasts

Strong Negative AO/NAO Pattern To Dominate Mid April Pattern For Europe!

Strong Negative AO/NAO Pattern To Dominate Mid April Pattern For Europe!

Conditions improve through today across Spain but they go downhill over southern France while up here in Scotland, it’s less wet than yesterday with brightness returning later in the day from the west. Yesterday’s highs across Europe. Cool across Scotland and central Spain where heavy rain clouds lingered, positively summer-like further east. This morning’s infrared. Coolest beneath the rain […]

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NORTHEAST US: Warmth Is Abruptly Wiped Out By Windstorm & Two Snow Systems!

Written by on April 4, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
NORTHEAST US: Warmth Is Abruptly Wiped Out By Windstorm & Two Snow Systems!

The true spring-like warmth of late last week was dramatically erased from Midwest to Northeast this past weekend as a powerhouse cold front with vort max packing gale-force gusts swept through Sat into Sun. This forced the rapid development of low pressure on exiting New England. The result was widespread wind gusts of 30-60 mph which tore down trees and power lines from Maine […]

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Flood Event For Spain Today Unlikely To Be Last As Blocky -NAO Pattern Develops

Flood Event For Spain Today Unlikely To Be Last As Blocky -NAO Pattern Develops

It’s been an unsettled, cool pattern across Iberia in recent days and things will get worse before better as a deep, cold low sweeps in during Monday bringing windy as well as very wet conditions. Local flooding is inevitable for many central and southern parts of Spain. Snow has been significant in the northwest of Spain […]

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EASTERN US: May Warmth To Be Followed By February Cold That May Hold For A While…

Written by on April 2, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
EASTERN US: May Warmth To Be Followed By February Cold That May Hold For A While…

Models are often far apart in their solutions, especially the further out you go. However, both EPS Control and GFS ensemble remain adamant on a textbook Greenland blocking pattern developing and entering a mature state within 6-10 days. This supports a more persistent or stubborn trough connecting the north shore of Hudson Bay to Florida. Hope you’ve enjoyed […]

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US: An Extreme Start To April

Written by on April 1, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
US: An Extreme Start To April

We have a large and powerful storm system continuing it eastward journey through the Lakes and eventually up into Canada. It’s brought all weather types with heavy snow and blizzard conditions across parts of Wyoming, Nebraska and into Colorado, summer-like warmth up the East Coast while there’s been devastating tornadoes over parts of Oklahoma and the South. Note in the […]

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EUROPE: April 1-15: Western Trough, Eastern Ridge Dominates

EUROPE: April 1-15: Western Trough, Eastern Ridge Dominates

Expect a cooler west, warmer east pattern through the first 15 days of April but troughiness doesn’t mean wet, expect spells of wet and dry, especially later next week as heights look to rise across the Northern UK and Scandinavia, lower down into Iberia day 6 onwards. Pattern looks very blocking April 10 on which could support […]

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A LOOK BACK: UK March 2016

A LOOK BACK: UK March 2016

From Met Office Provisional figures up until 28 March show that most of England has had a wetter than average March but parts of Scotland have been much drier than average. In this topsy-turvy set up, figures also show that the north of the UK enjoyed warmer than average conditions for the first month of […]

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1st 100F For Lower 48 Ahead Of Rare Early April Cold

Written by on March 31, 2016 in Spring 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
1st 100F For Lower 48 Ahead Of Rare Early April Cold

While there may be a major shot of late season arctic air heading south into the Northeast, there is however a sign of the fast approaching summer season in South Texas today. McAllen topped out at 100 degrees, a full 6 degrees over the previous record and I believe this may well be the first […]

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Sub-Tropical High Begins Northward Migration, Extends Into Italy, Turkey, Poland Next Week

Sub-Tropical High Begins Northward Migration, Extends Into Italy, Turkey, Poland Next Week

As we enter spring’s 2nd half we firstly look back at March. As we enter April, warmth matures over North Africa as the scorching heat core begins to migrate northward to the Sahara. During winter, the sub-tropical ridge we worship throughout the Med each summer, starts off just above the equator and as the sun angle rises and the incoming solar radiation […]

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Enjoy Warmth As Polar Vortex To Fire Two Shots Of Rare April Cold Into Northeast!

Enjoy Warmth As Polar Vortex To Fire Two Shots Of Rare April Cold Into Northeast!

Very brief write-up this evening. Had a puncture on my travels today and set me back 2 hours. If you live in the Northeast, don’t be fooled by the nice warm southwest winds of the next few days, your about to nose dive back into February following a taste of late May/early June. Quite an […]

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