Seasonal Forecasts
We end spring and begin summer opposite of what you’d typically expect with Belfast and Glasgow enjoying sun and low 20s C whereas it’s cool, cloudy, breezy and wet in London and Paris. A strong near 1040mb high between Scotland and Iceland is ruling the North/West UK but low pressure over Germany is making for a very […]
This Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Forecast 2016 is based on the current and projected El Nino Southern Oscillation Index (ENSO), current and projected global sea surface temperature anomalies and past analogs. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Current SSTA’s. Based purely on the fact we are seeing the development of a La Nina following a strong El Nino, one could jump to the […]
A strong west-east high pressure zone centred north of Scotland is reversing our upper flow pattern bringing weather in from the ESE. The messy weather seen over the continent during the past weekend is now making it’s presence felt across England today and certainly made it’s presence felt in Paris yesterday before reaching London today. Further north […]
If unfamiliar with Texas but you’ve been following the weather and climate in recent years, you could be forgiven for thinking that the climate of Texas was changing. Becoming more like Florida or even the Amazon after looking and feeling more like Arizona between 2010 and 2013. However, if you delve deeper or understand climate and the past, the turbulent and typically extreme climate of the […]
For most of the UK and Ireland, summer 2015 will be remembered as cold and wet and for those across much of Europe, hot and dry. Much of the driving force behind the major summer heat and wild swings is largely down to the strengthening El Nino. Many previous hot European summers have occurred around […]
As promised, this Memorial Day weekend has brought the first widespread and record 90s throughout the Eastern US just as folks enjoy the ‘unofficial start to summer’. We also saw not the first but second named tropical storm of the season which made landfall in South Carolina yesterday. When was the first? Remember that rare […]
For the majority of Ireland and the UK it’s been a fine, dry and pleasant bank holiday weekend but as for mainland Europe, lightning has filled the skies causing dozens to be struck from Paris to Warsaw. In Paris 11 people we’re struck by lightning while celebrating a birthday in a park while in Germany several we’re struck […]
Up and away at 5.30am sharp on Friday 20 May, I set off for Glen Coe and the iconic Buachaille Etive Mor Stob Dearg. One of Scotland’s most famous and photographed munro’s. This mountain never fails to catch my eye on my frequent drives up to Fort William. Having arrived at 7.15am, the popular and often congested Altnafeadh layby was empty. Before […]
70 percent likelihood of 10 to 16 named storms May 27, 2016 NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, will most likely be near-normal, but forecast uncertainty in the climate signals that influence the formation of Atlantic storms make predicting this season particularly difficult. […]
A selection of the latest heat hyped headlines from the past week. Hottest summer in 100 years: Brits set to bake in record-breaking temperatures of 38.5C Bank Holiday weather: Brits to bask in 22C heat as UK set to be hotter than Spain This article from May 21 is particularly garbage. UK weather: El Niño could […]
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