Seasonal Forecasts
Warmest day of the year for many yesterday across UK and Europe! Another warm one today for UK and continent but thunderstorms once again blossom late morning and through the afternoon as a front draped over the North Channel enhances humidity and instability. Strong surface heating will react to the energy and ignite lively thunderstorms over many parts […]
A quick update on Tropical Storm Colin. He’s stronger but looking windswept with shear displacing convection to the east. Water temps appear warm enough to maintain a moderate to strong TS as it comes ashore within the Florida Bight but shear may hold back further intensification. GFDL sees strongest winds on south side with little […]
Firstly a quick glance back at May. Unsurprisingly, it was warmer and drier than normal for the UK and across Northern Europe but cooler than normal from Portugal to Turkey with some areas, primarily France, Germany and central Europe witnessing record rainfall. As expected, the ridge has built south with it’s core peaking in strength and firmly dominated […]
A brief post this evening as I’m about to hit the road for Scotland’s far north to climb another two munros. I’ve not got much to add from before. Texas continues to get hammered but there’s drying on the way thankfully. Scene from Galveston, TX. Heat is on big time Out West with Phoenix likely […]
With low pressure remaining trapped beneath a strong Iceland to Scandinavia blocking high, it was another very stormy day across the heart of Europe yesterday. Yip, that equates to a total of over 1.5 MILLION strikes over the past week. However, give or take some shower and thunderstorm activity, high pressure centred north of the UK […]
Lots going on this weekend with floods continuing to hit Texas hard. Out West and we’ve got the first heatwave of 2016 set to send temps to record levels from Phoenix to LA up to Seattle. The Texas system should exit eastward late weekend but the combination of this system and one sweeping east through the Lakes, […]
The start of June 2015 couldn’t be more different to 2016. My wife and I left a cool, cloudy and rainy Glasgow visited a warm sunny Paris the first weekend of June last year. Early June 2015 Glasgow Paris This year! Glasgow Paris The French Open has been plagued by rain delays this year. Last year […]
We know there’s been a ton of rain over the Southern Plains, primarily Texas in the past 30 days but how much? 800% of normal! Notice the above normal precip over the N Plains and Wisconsin but considerably drier from Alabama, Georgia up the spine of the Appalachians. The Southwest and Northwest has been driest and […]
Last weekend saw Europe’s skies ignite with over 300,000 lightning strikes. Paris and Germany of course grabbed the headlines with dozens seriously injured by direct hits. Through the course of this work week, the attention turns to flooding or flash flooding in the very same areas. Blame an omega blocking pattern which has a ‘locked […]
Today marks the official start to meteorological summer and the Atlantic Hurricane season 2016. As you would expect, the tropics are quiet but not silent with NHC highlighting an area of disturbed weather Central America. In recent days, models have been picking up on developing either over the western Caribbean or Gulf. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] ECMWF and […]
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