Rest of Europe

The models have been adamant on high pressure building in from the west this week and sure enough it’s here. A damp, drizzly front pushed through late Monday and overnight skies cleared out and with modestly cold air filtering in, we awakened to a frosty, icy start here and widely. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As pointed out […]

Well it’s goodbye autumn, hello winter! Today marks day 1 of metrological winter 2014-15. Following a mild and eventually wet autumn, the pattern appears to be turning more seasonable with a cold trend through winter’s opening week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] We’ve currently got a front separating mild and modestly cold air and this will cover the UK beyond […]

The recent burst of warming at 30mb has been sending strong waves through the polar stratosphere further weakening the polar vortex. This should send additional pieces of very cold air down into the mid-latitudes and with shifting of phases in the tropical MJO, the environment becomes more favourable for some of this polar air to enter the Western Europe pattern by week […]

Joe Bastardi of Weatherbell is one of the best Long Range forecasters around, a man I’ve followed and learned from for many years. He brought back up just yesterday a theory I first heard him say back in the autumn of 2009 about ‘where the wettest weather sets up during autumn (over Europe), quite often that’s where the cold goes the […]

As we head into the early and particularly mid December time frame, the models wander, unsure as to what to do with the ridge/trough positions or even whether to build heights north or south. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Even in the much more advanced world of science and meteorology it’s amazing to how much the models still […]

NOTE: Video failed to upload this morning but should have it online later this evening (out today). Approx 9pm! Apologies… Since the models (as expected) are wavering and struggling with the early to mid December period, let’s go back to the basics and see what we’ve got going for us this year compared to last. Sure the Atlantic has […]

There is good and bad in today’s write-up. In fact there’s two good and one bad. The two good news is that the models are starting to show cold. The other good thing is that BOTH GFS and ECMWF show pretty much the same thing. The bad news is that it’s showing something that’s about three weeks away and […]

Our monotonous weather pattern remains and looks likely to remain through the rest of November into early December. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] We remain almost ‘between weather’ or a no mans land currently with a trough to our west and ridge to our east. Atlantic fronts are pushing slowly across Ireland just now and this will bring a […]