Rest of Europe
As the equatorial Pacific continues to heat, so the North Atlantic continues to cool and it’s that increasingly ‘colder-than-normal North Atlantic’ that’s catching my attention. Our current and recent past weather pattern here in Western Europe has a predominantly westerly or Atlantic pattern and with our winds blowing off this colder than normal water, we are seeing […]
Through the remainder of this week and the weekend, we remain in the battle between Azores high pressure which will dominate the Southern UK and Icelandic low pressure which will influence Northern Ireland and Scotland. Winds will begin easing through today as heights build and with building heights, temps will gradually climb with low 20s […]
As forecast right here on markvoganweather.com, May is turning out to be a cool and wet month with the BBC and Met Office now confirming this. Impressively, Cardiff has seen 125mm of rain through the first 18 days. Their average is just 72mm and keep in mind that’s we’ve over 12 days remaining of May! The […]
So far so good with regards to my overall forecast for the summer. In case you’ve forgotten, it’s very near here and it doesn’t feel like it that’s for sure. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It’s been a miserable open to the new working week for many but this ‘wetter pattern’ is now well established with soils recovering well following […]
Little change in overall thinking, May looks likely to go out on a cool and continued unsettled theme and I expect this to take us into June with a cool, disappointing open to summer 2015. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The Icelandic high (opposite of winter) shall rule at least the next 7 days or longer keeping the UK and western […]
Our current pattern remains very zonal (westerly) with a distinct north-south divide with cool, blustery showers over Northern Ireland/Scotland whiles always drier, brighter and warmer the further south you go. However change is on the way. That change will be in the form of ‘direction in which our Atlantic lows come in from’. Unfortunately we’re not going […]
A combination of warmer-than-normal water in the eastern Atlantic/western Mediterranean, strong upper level ridge of high pressure and exceptionally high levels of Saharan dust has supported the hottest surface temperatures recorded on the continent of Europe for May. Here’s an article written by the Capital Weather Gang and Met Office on the extreme May heat… […]
In yesterday’s post I touched on the chilly winds blowing over the UK with the added kick due to a rather cold (1-3C below normal) North Atlantic. I also briefly touched on the prospects of a turn to much colder next week. This looks legit and could support some unusually low daytime temps (5-12C) as a deep trough settles […]
While it’s all about the warming in the eastern Pacific, it’s quite the opposite to our west over the North Atlantic. With a mean upper flow pattern blowing west-east off a colder-than-normal North Atlantic means unusually cool winds for mid May across Ireland, UK and into the western mainland of Europe. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The initial 5-day mean off […]
This just shows you how poor the CFSv2 guidance can be. We half way through May and here’s the last 3 runs. May has went from dry in N UK/wet Iberia to the complete opposite and June has went from dry to wet. I takes to know your weather and climatic drivers. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] June’s flipped from wet […]
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