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WEST EUROPE: Gales, Heavy Rain, Snow, Sun, Warmth, Thunderstorms All Within Summer’s Opening Week!

WEST EUROPE: Gales, Heavy Rain, Snow, Sun, Warmth, Thunderstorms All Within Summer’s Opening Week!

Summer is here… However, despite it being June 1 and officially summer now, it won’t look or feel like summer anywhere in the UK or Ireland today as a gale centre whips in potentially disruptive wind and rain later today into Tuesday. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] For a time, a belt of strong WSW winds may cause isolated issues […]

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W EUROPE: Summer Opening Week Start’s With Taste Of November, Finishes With June Heat!

W EUROPE: Summer Opening Week Start’s With Taste Of November, Finishes With June Heat!

Today marks the final day of May and spring 2015. We end the season on a cool, wet note after a drier, warmer than normal start (March-April). Early stats from the Met Office show that rainfall for May was 131% of normal. The May average was 0.8C below normal. We commence  meteorological summer 2015 tomorrow […]

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WEST EUROPE: Unusual Sub-970mb June Low Set To Bring Gales, Heavy Rain Early Next Week, Major Heat To Follow?

WEST EUROPE: Unusual Sub-970mb June Low Set To Bring Gales, Heavy Rain Early Next Week, Major Heat To Follow?

The early June low has been mentioned here for days now and the models continue to show an unusually deep system for the time of year. In fact the latest GFS sends pressure into an autumnal 968mb. A pressure you don’t typically get during the summer months. This may be in part response to abnormally […]

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Major Pattern Flip On The Way – From Winter To Summer Within 10 Days

Major Pattern Flip On The Way – From Winter To Summer Within 10 Days

We all know about the series of Atlantic lows that will close May/open June on a very wet, windy and cold note but a significant shift in Europe’s upper air pattern is coming. For details on the weekend and early next week weather, be sure to watch today’s video. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] A fair amount of […]

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May To End With Snow Over Scottish Mountains, June Opens With Gales

May To End With Snow Over Scottish Mountains, June Opens With Gales

Under the blanket of heavy rain yesterday, it felt more like March with temps even at 3pm stuck at just 6-8C over many parts of Scotland. You could even see your breath in the cold rain. That shouldn’t be the case at this time of year nor should there be mention of snow and that’s […]

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W EUROPE: June May Open Unseasonably Cool/Stormy Followed By Summer Warmth?

W EUROPE: June May Open Unseasonably Cool/Stormy Followed By Summer Warmth?

It may seen like a long time coming but summer weather appears to be on the horizon for the UK, Ireland and western Europe but not before a cool, unsettled end to spring and beginning of summer. In fact the latest run of the GFS has thrown up a rather impressive and unusual early June […]

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June Still Likely To Open Unseasonably Cool, Wet & Windy

June Still Likely To Open Unseasonably Cool, Wet & Windy

Computer models continue to show the deepening of a low coming off Greenland this weekend that’s expected to present an unseasonably cool, wet and windy open to June. Here’s the morning of June 1 off the latest run of the GFS. Afternoon of June 1 [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] In this morning’s video I show the GFS example of […]

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WESTERN EUROPE: A Cool, Wet, Windy Open To June On The Cards

WESTERN EUROPE: A Cool, Wet, Windy Open To June On The Cards

In today’s video I show the 1972 example of similar (not exact by any means) SSTA’s with the horseshoe of cold in the Atlantic vs modestly warm Pacific with an El Nino coming on. Out of the last 30+ years, it appears 1972 is closest but the Pacific is very warm and the El Nino […]

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Europe June Outlook

Europe June Outlook

May has turned out pretty much as expected back on April 23 with a cooler, wetter outcome than the March-April period with little real warmth to speak of. In fact I believe the warmest temperatures was 23/24C, short of the April maximum. Many days during May have been cooler than normal, breezy and showery with longer […]

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WESTERN EUROPE: Cooler Than Normal & Mixed End To May

WESTERN EUROPE: Cooler Than Normal & Mixed End To May

In this morning’s video I show you the GFS surface for the upcoming bank holiday weekend and next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] In the below write-up, here’s the ECMWF surface which is pretty much consistent with the GFS showing the continued high and low pressure fight. Overall the high wins but there’s an almost daily back […]

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