Rest of Europe
The jet stream doesn’t typically warrant much mention during the warm season as it’s a weaker feature that is often or should be to our north. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] However this week the transatlantic jet strengthens and buckles and by doing so, it develops an usually deep little low for mid July by late week. On a positive note, it […]
As you well know, July commenced record hot across much of Western Europe but since the 5th, we’ve returned to the pattern we’ve had all along and that’s an ‘Atlantic westerly’. Here was the departures from normal across the continent yesterday. Month-to-date Sure, it’s still very warm, however the departures are being chipped away at […]
In today’s post I wanted to take a first look at autumn and also discuss more winter thoughts too. Here’s a look at the Jamstec for autumn and winter. The Jamstec is going with a ‘wettish’ autumn but dry winter. Sep-Nov Dec-Feb It’s looking very dry throughout the period for the western mainland of Europe. […]
A few folks have came up to me in recent times and said how terrible this summer’s been. I would disagree with that for the simple fact that I remember washout June’s and July’s. This year is no washout. Those were the terrible ones. At least we’re getting the sun, warmth (at times) and then […]
Within the first 10 days of July, we’ve went from the hottest July day on record last week to at least 3 locations experiencing their coldest July night on record. Katesbridge, Co Down woke to a frosty 0.3C, Strathallan, Perthshire 2.3C and Gogarbank (Edinburgh Airport) 3.7C all set new cold records for July. Scotland last Wednesday… This morning… Strathallan, Gogarbank and […]
Based on all the information presented to me at this time, the upcoming winter 2015-16 probably has the greatest level of uncertainty. El Ninos, like other big drivers are not created equally. Our warmest and cold winters have occurred during El Nino years. i.e, 2009-10 which was a moderate event and brought the UK’s coldest […]
What a difference a week makes and a south wind right? Last week saw UK temperatures reach a Mediterranean 25-36C. Areas across Scotland such as Aviemore topped out at 29C. This is what’s coming this Wednesday and Thursday thanks to a completely opposite wind direction… NORTHERLY! Frost Thursday morning? Here’s the GFS surface temps. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Yes, a rare July frost […]
Based on model output and consistency at driving a 594dm+ upper ridge into Europe, I quickly drew the conclusion back last weekend that countries in Europe may be dealing with some of the hottest weather in recorded history. That indeed came true and records have been tumbling from France up into the UK, across the Low Countries […]
The heat core continues to slow move away from western into central Europe with the worst of the oven-like conditions taking aim at the eastern Low Countries and particularly Germany where temps approached 40C. Here was yesterday morning’s lows. While it must have been near record warm over Belgium with minimums widely between 22-24C, it was […]
Today’s the last of the truly widespread warm days for the UK as the next cluster of thunderstorms spreading northwards from France tonight marks the start of the true breakdown. By the middle to later half of next week, a trough, not ridge should dominate much of Europe with the exceptions of the south. The […]
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