The latest system diving into the Rockies and Plains will present a renewed MODERATE risk for severe weather Saturday. The SPC is out early with a moderate risk over the Central Plains. Here’s the 500mb height chart for 18z Saturday. Note the trough diving into the Four Corners with energy rounding the base. Perfect setup for strong […]
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I want to look today at the big contradiction with the modelling looking out through the next 1-3 weeks. Where the ECMWF has a deepening trough (N Rockies/W Plains) in the next 10 days, the GFS operational and ensembles show a ridge! Both models are in agreement about the initial trough diving down the Plains which in […]
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Well it’s looking like modelling is in good agreement about the ridge, that’s now centred over the UK and Ireland will hold through the next 10-16 days in the means. It’s all thanks to a trough dropping and deepening over Russia down into the Ukraine where the heat has been strongest of late. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] […]
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While the heart of the US endures continues heavy rain and storms thanks to a large upper feature, the heat has been on back West with record heat over California. Monday saw the hottest weather of the year with highs topping 110 in both Fresno and Bakersfield in the Central Valley but as an upper […]
As expected, it’s been a rather unsettled start this week with widespread showers and storms around. Especially on mainland Europe where those storms have been severe and deadly. A trough is now bringing relief to eastern areas and in turn, the mean ridge is now shifting west into the Low Countries, France and the UK […]
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We’ve seen (by far), some of the wildest weather in many years across parts of France, Germany into Poland with powerful storms blustering into mighty MCS’s. Last night was no exception with 9cm diameter hail falling within one MCS over France while another system in west Germany killed one with over 21k lightning strikes within […]
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