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Latest run of the CFSv2 I think reflects well my UK summer idea but doesn’t for the rest of Europe. I have it warmer, drier into the South and Southwest (Iberia), cooler, wetter for the North (Scandinavia). Latest 700mb anomaly 2m temp anomalies. Rather than the warm, dry anticyclonic pattern of June-July 2013 and […]
Back in late March I highlighted the period around the end of April’sfirst week as the period to watch for the first significant warm surge with first 20s. That has indeed materialised nicely. I also had Friday as the day for warmest temps as southerly winds would pick up as a system out in the […]
As forecasted nearly a week ago, the south winds are blowing and transporting Mediterranean source air up through the British Isles. Call it an April version of the Spanish plume! Highs today topped close to 21C (70F) at Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire thanks to strong sun and some downslope compressional warming off the Grampians. Tomorrow, we should get to similar values […]
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The first significant severe weather outbreak kicks off today and will last through Friday. The main target area for severe potential including damaging wind, large hail and of course tornadoes… TOP IMAGE CREDIT: WeatherBug.com [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Heavy pulses of rain with potential for ‘training thunderstorms’ through the MS/TN/OH valleys will likely lead to flash flooding […]
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As stated in yesterday morning’s video, we end this holiday week on a warm note with potential for low 20s as the ridge core drifts into the Low Countries and turns our flow SSE. That’s already drawing in drier, continental air which heats and cools faster. Did you have a frost this morning? We could see […]
While a system pushes cooler, wetter weather into California and Southwest which sets up a significant severe weather threat Thursday, some longer range models try to bring back western warmth, eastern cool. Here’s the latest CFSv2 weeklies which quickly brings the return of the western ridge extending up into Alaska again while more cooler air […]
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