Mark Vogan
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”Vid140515.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’https://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’https://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /][/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
In yesterday’s post I touched on the chilly winds blowing over the UK with the added kick due to a rather cold (1-3C below normal) North Atlantic. I also briefly touched on the prospects of a turn to much colder next week. This looks legit and could support some unusually low daytime temps (5-12C) as a deep trough settles […]
The anomalous Southwest upper trough continues to support cool temps and unseasonable precipitation across California and the Desert Southwest but this will join forces with storm and rain cooled air over the Plains. Eventually, towards the 7-10 day period, cooler than normal air should return to the East where summer warmth has had temps near 90 from DC […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”Vid13515.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’https://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’https://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /][/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
While it’s all about the warming in the eastern Pacific, it’s quite the opposite to our west over the North Atlantic. With a mean upper flow pattern blowing west-east off a colder-than-normal North Atlantic means unusually cool winds for mid May across Ireland, UK and into the western mainland of Europe. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The initial 5-day mean off […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”Vid130515.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’https://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’https://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /][/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
The 2015 El Nino is likely to become the biggest ‘global weather story’ in quite some time with major impacts heading for the United States drought area. This is likely to have US and global implication and could significantly dent the multi-year drought in California. Could it wipe it out through fall and winter? It would […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”Vid120515.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’https://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’https://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /][/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If] In The above video I say Monday, I meant Tuesday! 🙂
This just shows you how poor the CFSv2 guidance can be. We half way through May and here’s the last 3 runs. May has went from dry in N UK/wet Iberia to the complete opposite and June has went from dry to wet. I takes to know your weather and climatic drivers. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] June’s flipped from wet […]
When looking at the 5-day mean 500mb height anomalies off the models, there is one aspect which really sticks out. The warm water of the eastern Pacific has differing influence on the atmosphere depending upon latitude. The El Nino and dramatic warming over the eastern equatorial Pacific is already significantly influencing the US atmospheric pattern but our old friend, the […]



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