Mark Vogan
The persistency of the northern (Scandinavia) blocking in recent WEEKS has been impressive. Though it came and went late September, it soon returned and as a result, rainfall has become sparse in areas which where wettest back in summer over southern Europe. We’ve pretty much reached the mid way point of October and it looks to me as though […]
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Unfortunately today’s video won’t be up until tonight as I cut it at 2.15 this morning before heading to Aberdeen where I am currently. The video failed to upload but will have it up tonight once home. The pattern remains much the same. A large banana shaped high pressure zone remains strong, extending from Atlantic to Russia while a […]
A wild, dynamic and highly amplified pattern has led to wild and extreme weather across the US. The wind was one thing but the heat? Well it was incredible by October standards. Highs soared to 99 degrees at Mooreton, North Dakota yesterday as a trough pushing onto the West Coast, has expanded north and east, an unusually hot […]
From summer heat less than 10 days ago to snow and cold now over eastern Europe! What a flip from September’s warmth to October’s cold so far. Where it’s been warmest in Sept, it’s coolest so far in Oct. That’s the way it goes! September anomaly October so far The same drivers which do one thing at one time of […]
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We have a very interesting pattern across the US these days with an unusual and erratic upper cut low which crossed California into the Four Corners then backed west back out over the Pacific and is now set to return onshore. The heat is on across the West and Plains as that upper low swings back out […]
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Warm Polar Stratosphere Already Supporting High Latitude Blocking & Early Taste Of Winter For Europe
For the first time in probably 3 years, we’re now into October and the mid to low latitudes are colder at 50hpa than within the arctic. What does this mean? It means the stratosphere is warm in the arctic, hence the positive 500mb height field across the northern latitudes and negative in the mid latitudes. […]



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