Because of the wild variation and swings month-by-month across the Lower 48, November has been a tough call as to what we can expect. While the heart of summer was cool and wet for a large swathe of the country, both spring and fall has seen wild swings with a hot West, cool East then […]
We have a much more active westerly air flow now influencing NW Europe but the worst of the weather through the next week or so appears to hold over far western areas which includes Ireland and west or southwest parts of the British Isles, largely down to the fact that we’ve a strong high pressure system […]
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Up until the 20th of the month, October has been dry across the UK and Ireland with many places receiving barely 20% of normal rainfall. As for temperatures, well after a warm start, the average is now back below normal thanks to a persistent northerly high pulling air in from Russia. Change has indeed arrived with a more typical, […]
We have a highly volatile situation unfolding over the Southern Plains through the next 5 days as an upper low swings out of the Southwest into Texas. As it moves out over the plains, it shall plug very moisture rich air from the Gulf. The connection between the two systems will present a potential major flash flood problem with a […]
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There’s an interesting divide in long range model solution for the upcoming winter. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] I strongly believe individual forecasters lean towards their favoured model where it’s warm or cold and it’s interesting to see the growing contrast in forecasts coming out. WSI shows a warm Europe winter with little to no blocking. AccuWeather is quite different. To […]
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While a major Texas/Southern Plains flood event is ready to unfold with rich tropical moisture lifting north and merging with a strong cut off low sliding east out of the Four Corners, it’s the West Pacific that’s catching my eye. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] TWO typhoons look destined recurve. The ECMWF already has the monster trough diving into the […]
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