An upper trough spinning in place directly north of Scotland will send not one but two rain bearing lows through the central/southern swath of the British Isles today and tomorrow reinforcing the disappointing summer of 2016 for many. To the south of these lows it’s relatively warm and muggy but cool, breezy and showery to the north.

In the wake of tomorrow’s system, a cool, bumpy, showery NW flow dominates the UK weekend with supressed daytime maximums (14 to 22C) and cool nights (4-12C).

As we leave the weekend and enter next week, further lows form on the jet riding the northern periphery of the supressed Azores high. Plenty more lows to cross the British Isles next week.

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It’s not all doom and gloom by any means with lot’s of hot sun across Iberia and much of Europe, especially the holiday resorts of the Canaries and Med!

Yesterday Europe maximums.

Marbella, Spain

GFS ensemble 5-day mean shows positive heights extending east across southern Europe while the negative persists across the northern UK next 10 days.

500mb height anomaly

Day 1-5

6-10

2m temp anomaly

Day 1-5

6-10

See this morning’s video.

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