Archive for 2014
After a seemingly endless period of cool, wet or very wet summers (between 2007 and 2012) here across Ireland and the UK, we’re now enjoying our 2nd straight warmer, drier than normal summer with high pressure rather than low pressure the dominant player. Why the shift? Perhaps the shift is wehere it’s warm and cold over the North Atlantic. This year […]
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After a super week of mostly sunny skies and warm sunshine with highs frequently reaching the low 20s, today will be the last for at least a few days. Models haven’t shifted away from a ‘mini-breakdown’ in what has been a drier and warmer than normal summer so far across Scotland. The reason I focus […]
Just like last winter, we’ve seen plenty of troughs drop into the Great Lakes throughout spring and through the first half of the summer but the trough the models have for next week, well it would seen like the a summertime version of the ‘polar vortex’. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This trough would be the mother of […]
Before looking at the more localised picture, I want to span out and show you broader Atlantic chart and what’s driving our pattern this summer so far. This windstream chart from last night captured on the MeteoEarth app depicts beautifully the great Mid-Atlantic upper ridge, a semi permanent feature which provides a bubble of mostly sunny skies and warm weather. This […]
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The winter hangover continues with effects lingering despite us approaching the midway point of summer 2014. The very setup which brought the coldest US winter since 1996 remains, making for a cool summer of 2014. Abnormally warm water which led to the strong positive over the northeast Pacific continues to send the mean trough into the Central and […]
In today’s post I want to look at how things are looking over the next couple of weeks as we approach the mid way point of summer 2014. How would you rate this summer so far on a 1-10 scale? By UK standards I think it’s been pretty good. Sure it’s had it’s moments been […]
With an upper trough on top of strong surface warming at this time of year we can expect heavy showers and thunderstorms. Low pressure is currently bringing heavy, persistent rainfall to much of central Europe with a flood risk over parts of Germany into the Alpine region. Before I get to the discussion, I drove up to Oban […]
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